Storm's Southward Trend Continues: Northern Vermont To Get Almost Nothing, Snow Still Likely South

The latest snow forecast, issued this morning Pretty
much nothing north, with two to five inches 
still possible in the central and southern 
Green Mountains. 

 We started today with wildly different kinds of weather across Vermont.  

In far northern Vermont, the sun was out, with only high, thin clouds covering the sky. 

Not all that far south, toward Middlebury, you ran into light rain. The southern half of Vermont was all rainy, except in the mountains, where it was snowing. 

It's now looking like this set up will continue through today and tonight. 

TODAY

The precipitation will continue to try and work slowly northward, though I question whether any of it will reach the Canadian border. 

If it does, it will only be sprinkles, and maybe some flurries tonight. Clouds will probably thicken up there, and the early morning sun will fade, but if anything falls, it will be super light. 

In central and southern Vermont, it still looks like two to five inches of snow will accumulate by morning ar elevations of above 2,000 feet. Rainfall and snowfall in central Vermont will be light all day into this evening, so it won't be a wild weather day. Just typical November gloom and dampness.  

In central land southern Vermont, rain should change to snow even in most valleys overnight. But below 1,000 feet in elevation,  the most you will see is a slushy coating on the grass. One wild card is far southern Vermont. The National Weather Service says a band of heavier precipitation might briefly rotate for a time into that region.

If that happens this evening, low places like Brattleboro or Bennington could see a surprise couple inches of snow. That's uncertain, but just something to watch. 

There's still wiggle room with this system, so it's still possible the rain and snow could go a little further north than expected, or stay a little further south than expected. 

Overall, this is turning out to be no blockbuster for Vermont. Still, you'll want to be careful on the roads, especially if you're heading to the high elevations. We should see some slick roads in spots up there. 

I'm bummed that this storm isn't producing the precipitation we'd hoped we see. Especially north. It's still quite dry across Vermont, and we need some late season soakings. 

Rain and melted snow will probably only amount to a trace to a tenth of an inch north of Route 2.  Central Vermont might see a quarter inch. Only areas south of Route 4 will get a decent wetting, with a half inch or a little more of rain and melted snow down there. 

This lack of rain and snow is especially bad since we have another long period of unusually nice November weather coming up. Eventually. 

Before we get to that, we have the next two or three days to discuss. 

FRIDAY/WEEKEND

Our storm will be spinning off around the Canadian Maritimes through the weekend, which means clouds, nippy north winds and chilly temperatures. We'll also see snow showers, especially in the northern and central Green Mountains. 

Those areas will see some light accumulation out of that. Valleys will pretty much see just light snow showers, mixing with rain during the day. No biggy, 

Highs during this period will be within a few degrees either side of 40, with sub-freezing nights. All this is a little chilly for mid-November but not really that out of the ordinary. 

NEXT WEEK

Big, fat high pressure looks like it will stall over the eastern United States for much of next week. One computer model I saw has the center of the high pressure centered over or near West Virginia from later Monday until early Friday. 

That's an extraordinarily long time for any weather system to be in one place. Especially this time of year, when weather systems tend to move right along. 

For us in Vermont, this means a warming trend with partly sunny skies. We'll be near the northern edge of this high pressure, leaving us prone to some periods of clouds from time to time as disturbances passing by to the north. 

But still, several days in a row with some sunshine in mid-November is quite a gift. 

Monday will still be chilly as we'll still feel the last effects of that old storm far to our northeast. Then it will turn milder. . We won't have record warmth like we did at the beginning of the month. But daily high in the low to mid 50s sounds like a nice treat for this time of year. 

Like I noted, though, it will be a long dry peered. 

I'll have  post probably later today with this week's update from the U.S. Drought Monitor.