Thursday, July 30, 2020

Record For Hottest Burlington, Vermont Month Almost Assured

Forgive me for the clumsy blog this morning.  
A hot summer day in Georgia, Vermont on July 15.

The geniuses at Blogger/Google are insisting on using their "new blog" this morning and not allowing me access to what I'm doing.  

Also, the idiots at Blogger/Google want to make things "easier" for me by not letting my caption photos. Photo in this post shows a hot summer day on July 15, Georgia, Vermont. 

I'm guessing this is making it easier to mine my data, since I don't see any advantages here,  other than making it harder to post a blog. 

Anyway. On to the matter at hand:  

When I crunched the numbers this morning, it looks like July, 2020 in Burlington, Vermont will be the city's hottest month on record.  

If I take a conservative (Read: Cool bias in the forecast for the next two days) Burlington's average temperature for the month will come out to be around 76.5 degrees. That's well above the previous record of 76.0 set two years ago. 

Before 2018, the hottest July, and the hottest month in Burlington was 75.3 degrees in 1921.  If this month's forecasted mean temperature comes to fruition, as I expect, this year will be 1.2 degrees above the previous record in 1921, before the past few years came along.  

That might not sound like much, but besting a previous monthly record by even just half a degree is pretty incredible.  

With this hot month coming to a close, three of the top four hottest Julys in Burlington will be 2018, 2019 and 2020.

Another big hot record now seems likely to fall.  As of today, Burlington has gone through 35 consecutive days without ever falling below 60 degrees. The record streak is 37 days.  Forecast lows over the next several nights are in the low 60s.

Unless we get a night in the next few that are a little more clear, more calm and less humid than expected, we will break this record. 

By the way, it looks like other cities in the Northeast will have their hottest Julys or hottest months on record as well. 

Of course, we'll confirm all this on August 1. 

By the way, we've temporarily gotten into a wetter weather pattern, which is good, given the dry summer we've had. Weather fronts and disturbances have given us almost daily showers and thunderstorms over the past few days. 

A southward dip in the jet stream centered to our west over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley will continue to bring more showers to us, especially starting late Sunday.  It's also possible, just possible, that now-Tropical Storm Isaias will come far enough north to throw some moisture at us Vermonters as well.

Only time will tell, I guess. 

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