Monday, April 19, 2021

The Way This Spring Has Gone, Yesterday's "Normal" Weather Was A Real Rarity

Just a few broken daffodils in my St. Albas, Vermont
garden from Friday's snow, but under what for this spring
is rare seasonable conditions, we have a nice recovery.
This spring in Vermont, it's really hard to discern what normal weather should be. Most of the time, temperatures so far this season have been well above normal.  

In the brief interludes where it hasn't been toasty warm, we've had plunges into the middle of winter. We've had drought, some heavy rain, some heavy snow, even a tornado! 

Well, now we have a brief interlude that tells you what normal really should be. Don't blink, you might miss it.  It'll get weird again soon enough.

 If you want some sort of guide as to what we should be experiencing this time of year, Sunday's weather was exactly normal for this time of year,

Both Sunday's low and high temperatures were right where they should be this time of year. There were times where it was cloudy, then it would get sunny.  A few places got some showers.  There was even a lightning bolt or two in some of the stronger showers. This is on the money what this time of year should be like.  

Today and tomorrow look kind of normal too.  Temperatures will be a little above normal this afternoon, but not by a whole lot. There will be more scattered showers and possibly non-severe thunderstorms.  The strongest storms might produce pea-sized hail in one or two spots. Tuesday will be seasonable, too.

Then, poof, it ends. We get back into bizarro world again Wednesday.  A vigorous storm will come by, and the exact track of it will determine what kind of weather we get.  There will be a sharp temperature contrast involved, which makes things tricky. 

To the north and west, it will be dark, rainy, cold, maybe even snowy.  To the south and east, it will probably be balmy.  Where this contrast sets up in or near Vermont is anybody's guess at this point. There might be some thunderstorms in the warm air to the south, who knows?

Not to scare you, but one run of the European weather forecasting model I saw had several inches of snow piling up in the northwestern half of Vermont toward Wednesday night, even in the valleys. That scenario is an outlier at this point, but it's still something to watch, and maybe shudder about. 

If the storm goes by a little more to the south and east, there could be spots that get quite a bit of snow.  Many if not most of us will probably see some snow showers Wednesday night. Winter still wants to keep trying, huh?

Thursday will be cloudy, cold and windy with snow showers, maybe mixed with cold rain drops. It'll be the March weather we largely missed out on back in March. 

Goodness knows what the end of April will bring to Vermont. Locusts? Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs? Volkswagen-sized hail?  

I guess weather excitement does keep things a bit on the interesting, if frustrating side.

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