Saturday, October 29, 2022

More Warm Weather Coming In Remarkably Toasty Vermont Late Autumn

Frost on some garden plants in St. Albans, Vermont this 
morning. Although we've just had a couple seasonably
chilly days, another dramatic warmup is in store. 
 After a couple frosty mornings, and bright, cool, pleasant days, the weather in Vermont is about to turn toasty again for an extended period. 

That's good news if you're like me, and chronically late in buttoning things down for the winter. This calm, mild weather is buying us a little time before winter inevitably settles in. 

Recent autumns have been front loaded with warmth, with often record and near record temperatures early on, in September and early October, with a sharp cooling trend in late October and November.

This year is turning out a little different. It was warmish, but not particularly toasty in September and the first half of October. But the heat has really turned up lately.

So far this autumn, Burlington hasn't had a daily high temperature under 50 degrees, and won't have a day that stays in the 40s for at least a week, probably more. 

The last time we had an autumn in which we waited  until after November 1 to see a daytime high in the 40s was way back in 1994, when that kind of cool weather didn't arrive until November 10.  

We're still waiting for our first snow flurry of the season in the Champlain Valley, too. On average, that comes around October 15.  It won't snow for at least a week. The last time we waited this long for the first flakes of the season was on November 16, 2007.

Despite the past two days being just ever so slightly on the cool side, another big warm up is on the way. 

Or course, it won't be nearly as hot as that record 78 degree reading in Burlington this past Wednesday, but it will be up there. 

As we end October and start November, normal highs around 50 degrees, and conditions are often cloudy and gloomy.  November is on average Vermont's cloudiest month of the year. 

However, November, 2022 is opening really warm. We'll hit at least 60 degrees tomorrow and on Halloween. Chances are also quite high that each of the first seven days of November will make it to at least 60 degrees. 

After a seasonably cool evening tonight, it looks like nights through the first week of November will be mild, too. Lows will mostly be in the 40s, with a few nights possibly bottoming out at just around 50 degrees.

Forecasters have backed away from forecasts of rain on Halloween and are now saying there might be, at most, a few scattered light showers. Little or no rain is coming for the first part of November. Most days will be partly to mostly sunny through the opening week of the month. 

That's actually kind of too bad.

We were doing well replenishing groundwater with some pretty stiff storms in September and October. It wouldn't hurt to see more drenching rains before the ground freezes. 

But, it's hard to complain about such nice weather coming up.  In the worst years, winter sets in during the first or second week of November.

Vermont winters are long enough. We can live without any extra snow and cold this time of year. I'll take the balmy sunshine, thank you. 

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