Showing posts with label safe. Show all posts
Showing posts with label safe. Show all posts

Monday, October 16, 2023

Nation Gets Rare Break From Endless Disasters: Rare Week Of No Big U.S. Weather Hazards

Roseanne Roseannadanna consistently said, "It's
always something," but today, in a rare treat,
there's nothing. At least in terms of weather
hazards across the United States. 
 Every morning when I'm thinking about this here blog thingy, I check the National Weather Service hazards pages to see what fresh hell the United States is in for. 

As Roseanne Roseannadanna would say, It's always something. This year has been one helluva ride with tornadoes, severe weather, floods, heat waves, cold snaps, winter storms, hurricanes, drought, you name it. Probably even locusts.

Today, Nada. 

It's actually pretty rare to see no major weather extremes going on anywhere in the United States. 

But this morning, the United States gets a real, very rare treat: The National Weather Service is pretty much coming up empty with forecasted weather hazards this week.  Enjoy it. With climate change and El Nino raging, this calm won't last. 

I did check everything:

The current, immediate warning page this morning had alerts for frosts and freezes in Kansas and western Oklahoma, alerts for potential high winds in parts of Montana, and forecasts of minor coastal flooding in New Jersey and Delaware.  In other words, nothing much. 

For tropical storms and hurricanes, lame little Tropical Storm Sean way out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean died a pitiful death. There's another disturbance out there that has a good shot at becoming Tropical Storm Tammy, but that won't happen until a week or more.  

The National Weather Service severe thunderstorm and tornado page showed the chance of a few non-severe thunderstorms in the Pacific Northwest today, and no thunderstorms at all anywhere in the Lower 48 Tuesday and Wednesday. No severe storm outbreaks are forecast for the next week. 

Next it was on to wildfire hazards.  You can still  get some nasty wildfires, especially in southern California this time of year. Nope, nothing there. 

I almost always find signs of trouble on the NWS Weather Prediction Page, which forecasts excessive rains and winter storms.  There are no early season winter storms in the offing. And, for the first time in ages, I found no signs of any flooding concerns in the Lower 48 for the next five days. 

The Weather Prediction Page did find signs of possibly heavy rains in New England and New York this coming Saturday, but so far it doesn't look like it would be enough to cause any flooding worries.

Extended forecasts into early next week also don't show any real weather hazards in the United States. Of course, that could change, as predictions are always adjusted and a new weather risk might pop up somewhere. But for now, everybody can relax.

They say that no news is good news, and that's certainly the case here. 


Sunday, August 13, 2023

The Vermont Week Ahead: So Far, Looking Uneventful For A Change

Some showers and storms developed here and there in
Vermont Sunday afternoon, but they were pretty
much garden variety. The week ahead will feature,
for a change, no extreme weather in Vermont. 
 I usually do this kind of post Sunday morning, but was distracting of course by the more important news of new-Nazis co-opting Vermont flood cleanup. 

But I have a break this afternoon to help you plan the weather week. 

 For a major change, so far it doesn't look like I have a lot of drama to bring you.  Yes, the weather will change frequently through the week. But, knock on wood, no big storms, no big floods, no big calamities. Or even mid-sized ones. 

Of course, we've been frequent surprised before. In fact there were a couple minor surprises Saturday and Saturday night. 

We thought we were done with the flash flood warnings in northern New York and Vermont, but the National Weather Service in South Burlington was forced to issue such a warning Saturday evening in the central Adirondacks, southeast of Saranac Lake.   .

This wasn't a widespread event by any means, but it's a reminder that we seem to can't wholly escape from this summer's excessive rain.

Forecasts of a severe storm outbreak to our south and west in New York, Pennsylvania and Ohio turned out to be true.  Some of the severe weather made it all the way to Vermont, which was only semi-expected at best. 

I don't have any official reports, but a severe looking storm looked like it passed through northern Addison and southern Chittenden County into central Vermont last evening.

Sone strong to severe storms also seem to have blasted parts of Rutland and Addison counties around 11 p.m. last night. We have reports of downed trees in Shoreham and Castleton, and other towns. 

REST OF TODAY

Some scattered garden variety showers and thunderstorms were roaming through Vermont early this afternoon. No severe weather is expected, at least until the storms reach eastern New Hampshire and Maine. There, the conditions are much better for storms to really develop, so a severe storm watch is up there.

It's still pretty humid in Vermont, but I think as the afternoon goes on, that humidity will diminish somewhat. It'll be generally clear to partly cloudy tonight and seasonable, so any lingering Perseid meteors should be visible overnight. 

MONDAY

Nice enough day. Mostly sunny, warm, moderate humidity. Good day to be outdoors and for any vacationers wandering around the state. The only minor problem will be the usual patchy fog early in the morning, but that will burn off quickly.  Highs will top out in the 75 to 82 degree range.

TUESDAY

A bit of a fall preview.  It'll be overcast, and damp with occasional rain as a storm passes off to the south. This storm will trigger more severe thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic states, but we'll be on the cool, northern side of the storm.  We'll be lucky if we make it into the low 70s during the day with all the clouds and light rain.  There won't be nearly enough rain to trigger any new flood worries. 

REST OF THE WEEK

Kinda average.  Any showers will be few and far between Wednesday and Thursday, if they occur at all.

Again, normal temperatures, with lows near 60 and highs within scoring distance of 80.  The next good chance of showers is Friday. That batch doesn't look impressive, so we're good to go there.