That means we here in Vermont tonight will get more snow out of it than expected. We won't get hammered the way central New York and the New York City metro area will, but parts of southwest Vermont are now in play for as much as eight inches of snow.
A winter weather advisory has been hoisted for Bennington and Windham counties as those places could get six inches of snow, give or take. That's a lot more than the one or two inches that was in the forecast for those areas less than 24 hours ago.
The expected snow totals on a line from Springfield to west of Rutland might get perhaps three inches. Along Interstate 89, total accumulations would be about 1.5 inches, give or take. At least that's what the forecast is calling for as of late this afternoon. The Northeast Kingdom should only see nothing to as much as an inch o snow.
The problem with forecasting this thing is that under the most intense band of snow in central New York, the flakes could come down at a rate of up to three inches per hours. The gradient between super heavy snow in central New York and virtually no snow at all in we're guessing central New England is steep.
The computer models even right before the snow begins don't have the track of this thing nailed down. If it goes just a little further north and east than expected, there could be several inches of snow in some parts of Vermont, especially southwestern areas. If it jogs a little south and west, we get next to nothing
This is a very quick mover. Where it snows, it'll start sometime between 8 and 11 p.m. tonight and finish up by 4 or 5 a.m. Saturday.
If you're driving anywhere, you still might encounter snowy roads through Saturday morning, especially in southern Vermont.
Whatever happens it'll pretty much be over by Saturday morning, so it would just leave behind some iffy roads. Temperatures during the snow and early tomorrow morning will be around 10 degrees, give or take That's too cold for road salt to work well.
It'll be a fluffy snow, so it will be easy to shovel. And it will settle quite a bit over the next few days. Eight inches of snow would become four inches within a couple days.
NORTHEAST HEADACHES
It's much worse elsewhere in the Northeast.
Nearly 1,500 U.S. flights were canceled as of 4:45 p.m. today, according to FlightAware. Another 5,900 domestic flights are delayed. This is all hitting on the busiest travel day of the year.
Over a quarter of today's flights, or about 350 of 'em were canceled today at John F. Kennedy International Airport, CNBC reported. More than 200 flights were scrubbed at Newark's airport.
The snow hadn't even started in New York yet when the flights were canceled, but airline often cancel flights before big storms begin so that planes, crews and connecting travelers don't get stuck.
New York City has been experiencing a snow drought in recent years. The last time the city got a snowstorm the size this one is expected to be was on January 28-29, 2022. On that occasion, the storm total at Central Park was 8.5 inches.
Much of Pennsylvania and parts of New Jersey are either experiencing an ice storm or are about to
This storm will zip out to sea Saturday morning to make way for the next, warmer storm Sunday night and Monday. Back up here in Vermont, that one still looks like it'll give us our dose of freezing rain.
