It's a partly sunny start to this Tuesday morning here in St. Albans, Vermont, but meteorologists across the board are still promising us a to die for soaking rain later today, tonight and Wednesday morning.
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| Our property in St. Albans, Vermont looked all nicely dressed up for autumn Monday evening after some light, refreshing rains during the day. |
When all is said and done, the forecasters say we will have had one to two inches of rain.
That won't solve the deep dryness and drought we're experiencing, but at least it will stop it from worsening, and help us recover a bit.
We'll still need more soggy storms through October, November and into December to erase the drought, so we'll see about that.
Some of us here in Vermont managed to get some largely unexpected "appetizer" showers on Monday.
Here in St. Albans, I think we were one of the wetter spots, collecting 0.20 inches of rain. That's not much, but at least it helped keep the dust down. Burlington only squeezed out 0.03 inches. Springfield managed 0.15 inch and Montpelier got a 0.06 inch drizzling. Rutland got nothing.
Today, the band of rain coming in from the west with a cold front is looking pretty narrow. Normally, that means it wouldn't rain for long, and we wouldn't get much.
However, this area of rain's forward progress is quite slow, so it would linger over us for hours. Plus, it's oddly humid for this time of year and gusty south winds are bringing in plenty more moisture. So there's a lot of water that can be wrung out of the sky with this cold front.
With Vermont rivers running so incredibly low, some of the lowest I've ever seen, there is absolutely no chance of flooding with this. The only water problems I foresee are possibly bits of street flooding in urban areas as storm drains get clogged with fallen leaves during the heavier downpours.
East of the Green Mountains especially, and most of eastern New England should see some rather strong gusty winds later tonight and Wednesday ahead of the cold front.
Yesterday's rain briefly cleared the smoke and haze out of the air toward the end of the day Monday, but I notice the haze is back this morning. I hoping this heavier rain will bring back some deep blue skies poking between shower clouds for the second half of this week.
The rain isn't necessarily over on Wednesday, either, but the amount of further wetting is uncertain.
It'll be cooler, obviously, on Wednesday and Thursday after the cold front goes by, but it won't be anything odd for this time of year. A reinforcing shot of chilly air could trigger more rain Friday (fingers crossed!).
As I always caution, longer range forecasts are always iffy. Beyond the end of this week and through next week, I don't see a lot of signals for more deep soakings, but there are at chances of rain here and there as disturbances rotate through.
It looks like it will be chillier than average this weekend and next week. It's definitely possible that some of the precipitation coming through next week could fall as a little snow, yes snow, on the mountain peaks.
By the way, this is getting into October so don't be shocked by the "S" word. We very often get mountaintop snow during the first week of October in Vermont. Deal with it.
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