Wednesday, June 29, 2022

A Storm Threat In Vermont This Afternoon, Evening

In this radar image from AccuWeather as of 2:15 today
a cold front was inspiring bands of showers and storms in
much of Quebec, extending into far northwestern New
York. Some of these storms will move into Vermont
later this afternoon and evening. A few storms
could produce gusty winds. 
 Just a heads up that a band of showers with some thunderstorms was in New York's St. Lawrence Valley and west of Montreal as of 2 p.m. and they're heading east.  

That means we're in for some showers, and a few storms after 3 p.m. today and lasting into the evening, latest east.

The storms are most likely in the northern half of Vermont, but could happen anywhere in the state. A few storms might be on the gusty side. All of Vermont, most of New Hampshire and western Maine are in a marginal risk zone for severe storms today, according to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center. 

That means there could be some isolated instances of strong, damaging winds with this band of storms. Almost everybody will escape the damaging winds. But one or two towns might not be so lucky. 

Many of the showers and storms will have brief downpours and some gusty winds. Some of us will get not much more than sprinkles. Some of us will receive a decent storm. Others will have meh showers. It's the luck of the draw.

The closer you are to the Canadian border, the more likely you are to see a shower or storm today, and the more likely some of the storms will be gusty. As of 2:15 p.m. the strongest showers were in Quebec. So far, there have only been a few lightning strikes, mostly southwest of Montreal and north of Massena, New York. 

The culprit is a weakening cold front coming in from the west. Even though the front is weakening, it still has enough oomph to pool a bit of moisture ahead of the front, providing some fuel for the storms 

Sunshine this morning and early afternoon has added some instability to the air, which will help fuel the storms. 

Tomorrow will be a gorgeous summer day, with sunshine, comfortable temperatures, low humidity and no threat of storms. It still looks like we'll see one rather hot day on Friday before another cold front arrives with more showers Friday night and early Saturday

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