Spring flowers on a tree bloom in front of a sad site of tornado destruction in Glenallen, Missouri, where five people died early Wednesday. Photo via Twitter from Amelia Mugaver |
Of course, I turned out to be wrong.
Another six people have died in the latest spate of tornadoes. Five of the deaths happened in the tiny Missouri village of Glenallen, where a strong tornado roared through at around 3:30 Wednesday morning.
The timing of the tornado is of course as bad as it gets. People were probably sound asleep and weren't aware of the tornado warnings.
Another death was reported in Kentucky from a likely tornado, Fox Weather reports.
A few more severe thunderstorms were in the forecast today for parts of the Mid-Atlantic states today, but this won't be a big tornado swarm or anything like that. As of 5 p.m., there was only a handful of severe weather reports from that area.
The big threat of tornadoes and other severe weather is now going to take a welcome break starting today. That isn't to say there will be no tornadoes or damaging winds in the U.S. for the next week or two. It just means that they will be few and far between, and won't consist of they type of major outbreaks we've seen lately.
Of course, even the worst tornado seasons have lulls, so this is to be expected. Whether or not things get really bad again as the severe weather season peaks in May is to be announced.
There's still the pesky problem of Gulf of Mexico water temperatures at or near record highs for this time of year. That would continue to provide extra heat and humidity to supply tornadoes with a needed ingredient for them to get going.
But you'll also need strong low pressure systems, punches of arid air from the Desert Southwest and intrusions of chilly air from Canada to stir the pot and create conditions for tornadoes. You just can't predict that sort of thing more than several days in advance.
So, for now, it's fingers crossed.
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