Late Wednesday Afternoon Update: Severe Storm Watch Western Vermont Until 11 PM; Heat To Intensify Tomorrow

National Weather Service radar showed severe storms
near Massena, New York at 5:45 p.m today. More storms
were lurking in the general area of Ottawa, If those
storms hold together or new ones form, they could
create damaging winds. A severe thunderstorm watch
is in effect for western Vermont until 11 pm 

 A severe thunderstorm watch is now in effect for western Vermont and New York until 11 pm, tonight. 

In Vermont, the watch covers basically everywhere west of the Green Mountains.

There's been a nasty cluster of storms in southeast Ontario and extreme southwest Quebec much of this afternoon. 

By late afternoon, they were starting to move east and southeast. It's unclear how far east they'll make it. But there's enough of a threat to trigger the storm watch. 

As of 5:30 p.m., it looks dark looking northwest from Vermont's Champlain Valley. That didn't represent an immediate threat. It was the anvil top and shadow of the severe storms near Massena, New York that were making things darker.  However, in this hot, humid environments, storms could form under this anvil, and become severe. If they don't, the anvil will just produce at most light rain. 

The storms near and approaching New York's St. Lawrence Valley could eventually make it to the Champlain Valley with powerful winds later this evening. Not a guarantee yet, but keep your eyes out!  

Judging from satellite photos, it loos storm well up into Ontario,  which is where the storms ar coming from So it could be a rather stormy night here in Vermont if they hold together. 

The heat today didn't quite make it to forecast levels, at least in the Champlain Valley. Preliminary data indicates Burlington made it to 93 degrees, which was three degrees cooler than forecast. 

That doesn't necessarily mean tomorrow will be cooler than forecast. But I did notice the National Weather Service back away slightly from that previous forecast of 100 degrees. 

Have a way to get weather warnings this evening and tonight, just in case. You might want to turn off your "Do Not Disturb" feature on your phone so you can get warnings if they are issued overnight. 

Stay cool, my friends! 

Tuesday Evening Update: Few Severe Thunderstorm Still Possible Southern Vermont Next Couple Hour. North Just Wet/Cold

National Weather Service radar showed plenty of rain in the
cool air north, with thunderstorms, with a risk of
them becoming severe heading toward southern
Vermont from New York in the warn air down 
there The severe risk should end later this evening. 

 The northern half of Vermont got cheated out of a warm day today, but that chilly air that became established prevented any severe thunderstorms from forming up there. 

However, its a different world south, and as of 4:30 p.m. strong to possibly severe storms were heading toward Vermonts southern four counties. 

That weather front that is draped west to east across our area sharpened up this afternoon.  Temperatures late this afternoon were near 50 in northern areas, with some upper 40s near the Canadian border.

 In this colder air, a disturbance riding west to east along the front was only able to create a rainy afternoon. Some of the rain came down hard at times, and a couple areas reported a rumble or two of thunder, but that's about it. 

As mentioned, southern Vermont is a different world. It was 77 degrees in Rutland, 79 in Bennington and 80 in Springfield as of 4 p.m. Some sun broke out too. The warmth and the sun has made the air  south of that stalled front unstable enough too support strong thunderstorms .  

Those thunderstorms were racing in from  New York State, Some of those storms prompted severe storm warnings. And a severe thunderstorm watch is in effect this evening for the four southern counties of Vermont. 

Judging by how fast they're moving. it looks like the last of those storms will leave southeastern Vermont hy 7 p.m. or so. The rain in northern Vermont should taper off by around the same time. 

That weather front will stay pretty much put over Vermont for the next couple of days. While the contrast might not be as great as it was today, it still looks like we'll have at least a seasonably cool north and a balmy south in the Green Mountain State. 

More rounds of showers and storms are likely both Wednesday and Thursday. The chances of severe storms seem lower than they were today. We'll still have locally heavier downpours here and there north days  It sill doesn't look like it'll be enough to cause much if anything in terms of flooding. 

I'll have much more on this weird weather in tomorrow morning's post. -