Quick Update: Wet Vermont Weekend; Soggiest South Of Course

Large areas of the nation (green, yellow and red) have at

least some risk of flash flooding over the next 24 hours.

The yellow, and especially red zones, have the 

highest risk of flooding.

 It's really been a cloudy July for Vermont, even if rain has been uneven, as I noted in yesterday's post. 

True to form, we have another cloudy weekend, as you might have guessed by looking out your window this morning.  Don't expect a lot of sun.  

Do expect a lot of rain if you live in the southern half of Vermont.  Once again, true to form, if you're up near the border with Quebec, it's going to rain, you just won't get huge amounts. But it should be enough to help at least a little.

Further south, in New York below Albany, also western sections of that state, the New York City metro area, southern New England and parts of the Mid-Atlantic States, the weather this weekend will be downright dangerous in spots.

Yet again, that's true to form for this month, as those areas have all been plagued by severe thunderstorms and flash flooding all this month. 

Yesterday's cold front has stalled a little to Vermont's south, and little storms are rippling west to east along it.  

For those north of the front, like us in Vermont, this just means overcast skies, and a  steady rain, especially tonight.   Though the rain might come down fairly hard at time overnight from Route 2 south, it likely won't be enough to threaten us with flooding.

Downpours might be a little more intense near the Massachusetts border, so flood watches are up between Bennington and Brattleboro.

The National Weather Service in Burlington predicts somewhere between a half and two thirds of an inch up along the Canadian border over the weekend, to over two inches near Brattleboro and the mountains to their west. 

Sunday won't be a great day either, by the way. Of course, the day I'm planning an outdoor party at my house. At least the northern Vermont rain shield might help.  The rain will be first to taper off in my neck of the woods, so I'm hoping the steady rain will end during the morning. That would leave me with manageable overcast skies and just light sprinkles.

Most of the rest of the state can expect a rainy, dreary day, especially the further south and east you go.

As noted above, things look dreadful further south. NOAA's Weather Prediction Center has a relatively rare moderate risk zone for flash flooding today in eastern Pennsylvania, the New York City area, southwestern New England and northern New Jersey. 

That means life-threatening flash flooding could easily develop there today and tonight.  We just need to hope they don't have any Germany style calamities out of this. 

Already, this morning. flooding and flash flooding has been reported in western New York, near Buffalo. That heavy rain will only develop further as it heads east 

Additionally, NOAA's Storm Prediction Center says some thunderstorms in eastern Pennsylvania, around NYC and New Jersey today could be severe. Strong, damaging winds are the biggest threat. Since it's been so wet in that region, the soil is soft, so it would be easy for winds to push trees over