Vermont Weather Week Ahead: Normal Weather For A Change!

Pretty much normal weather coming up in Vermont 
this week, but there's always a few surprises. As dawn
broke, a few unexpected dark clouds, and in a
few spots, a couple surprise showers this morning.

For a big change, I'm not going to talk scary weather in Vermont.

There's no big heat wave coming in.  Not much in the way of humidity to talk about, either. There's no gigantic flood risk. It's not going to be cold, either,  No tornadoes, no locusts, not much in the way of weirdness, either. 

For once we have a sort of normal weather week coming to Vermont. Normal  for this time of year means highs in the 70s to around 80 and lows in the 50s to around 60. It also means the ever-present risk of showers here and there. 

We're going to be close to that "normal" game plan all week.  But this being the Green Mountain State, expect plenty of day to day changes and some surprises here and there. 

The first surprise is this morning. There were a few showers scattered around as of 7 a.m., which I didn't expect. 

As of that hour, most of them were in eastern New York, heading into the southern half of Vermont.  They didn't look especially heavy, and I imagine they will clear out later this morning. A few other showers lurked in northern New York, so a couple places in the upper half of Vermont could get briefly wet, too. We'll see. 

Those showers did appear to be weakening somewhat, but that might not be the end of it. 

FOR STARTERS, AN UPPER LOW

After those unexpected scattered light showers clear out this morning, it should be a mostly nice day.  Some sun, highs getting close to 80, humidity reasonable. 

But I can't say there's no further rain risk. The latest in a series of upper level low pressure systems is starting to dive down from eastern Canada.

As previously advertised, this one is weaker and warmer and faster moving than the system that caused the chilly, dreary weather this past week. Still, it'll bring us some weather. Again, nothing extreme.

A few more isolated showers or even a rumble of thunder could pop up this afternoon, with the best chances the closer you get to the Canadian border. 

Again, we could see an afternoon surprise or two. Up until now, most forecasts had limited the risk of showers and storms to the far north and kept them very few and far between.

Some computer models just released this morning suggest more scattered storms, not just isolated ones. They'd still be hit and miss, but instead of just affecting areas north of Route 2, a few could pop up just about anywhere.  

If you have outdoor plans today, you might need to move inside for a little while to avoid lightning and quick downpours. That doesn't apply to everyone, just some unlucky towns here and there. 

Monday

On Monday, as the upper low dives southward and over New England, plenty of showers and thunderstorms will develop as this thing destabilizes the atmosphere. 

A couple storms could be strong-ish, and there's a marginal chance that one or two will create some damaging wind gusts during the afternoon. So, if you're very unlucky, you might briefly lose power, and lose a couple tree branches, too.

It won't be humid enough to cause super torrential downpours, and the storms will be moving too fast anyway to drop all that much rain. So for once, Vermont will not see any flooding. Or flooding risks. Hallelujah!

Tuesday:

A classic late summer day as the upper low gets out of the way. We'll have a fair amount of sunshine, and it will feel rather humid again.  Again,  nothing extreme.  

Later Week

Long range forecasts from a few days ago had strongly hinted at some possible late season heat to close out the month of August. Meteorologists have backed way off on those projections, now that we have better data. 

Instead, strong high pressure in eastern Canada looks like it will shove another cold front southward across Vermont around Wednesday. That'll bring some showers, and some cooler air. 

Once again, by cool, I mean air that might only be a couple degrees below average for this time of year. Nothing out of the ordinary for the end of August. 

It's possible - but not definite - that we might get a quick squirt of hot, humid air toward next weekend. But new cold fronts also lurk then, too.  

This being Vermont, I'm sure some unexpected things will come up during the week. Like they always do. But it is nice that the weather is actually "boring" for a change.