Thursday, October 31, 2024

Very Weird Vermont/Northeast Record Warmth Peaks Today, Part Of A Disturbing Pattern

Some previously frostbitten outdoor plants around
my house in St. Albans, Vermont are reviving amid 
record end of October warmth in the region,
 It's weird out there, folks.

We went to bed last evening, and got up this morning to temperatures more typical for mid-summer. Kind of spooky for Halloween if you ask me. 

Record shattering high temperatures are anticipated across Vermont and pretty much all of the Northeast today for sure. 

The bizarre aspect of this warm spell started yesterday. It got to 69 degrees in Burlington in the afternoon, right in line with forecasts. 

 As the sun set, the temperature should have started falling. Instead, it stayed right at 69 degrees until 9 p.m.

In fact, the temperature snuck up to 70 degrees at the odd time of 7:12 p.m. to tie Burlington's record high for the date. 

It never really cooled down overnight. As of 6 a.m. in Burlington, it was 66 degrees. That's warmer than it would normally be at that hour in July. 

Also, that 66 degrees is just five degrees below the record high for today's date. That record will be shattered.

The National Weather Service office in South Burlington is going with a forecasted record high of 79 degrees today. I suppose an 80 degree reading is not entirely out of the question. Pretty much everyone in Vermont except those up in the mountains should make it into the 70s today. Normal highs this time of year in the Green Mountain State are in the low 50s. 

Today's forecasted high in Burlington would also be easily the warmest for so late in the season.

In the past several years, we've had a really disconcerting number warmest temperatures for entire months, or of "hottest for so late in the season" temperatures in the autumn and  "hottest for so early in the year" temperatures in the spring. 

Sure, records are made to be broken, but this type of record should rarely happen. But it's been happening a lot. Climate change is helping to re-write the weather record books here in Vermont and pretty much everywhere else. 

I'm probably not going to mention them all here, but the list of earliest and latest record highs  in Burlington, Vermont is impressive:

-- 95 degrees, May 27, 2020, broke the all time record high for May by two degrees. 

-- 78 degrees, October 26, 2022, warmest for so late in the season.

-- 76 degrees, November 6, 2022, warmest temperature for the entire month of November and of course warmest for so late in the season.

-- 88 degrees April 13, 2023, hottest for so early in the season

-- 96 degrees June 1, 2023, hottest for so early in the season. Broke the previous record high for the date by a whopping six degrees.

-- 86 degrees October 4, 2023 hottest October day on record and warmest for so late in the season. 

REST OF FORECAST

This evening for the trick or treaters will be summertime balmy.  Hauling those bags of candy around neighborhoods will get the kids to work up a sweat this year. Temperatures in many locations will stay at or above 70 well into the evening. 

By the way, the previous record high for today in Burlington was 71 degrees in 2019. That was in the midst of a destructive rain and wind storm that caused a ton of damage in much of Vermont. Count ourselves lucky that we don't have to deal with any big storms this time around. 

A cold front will come through tomorrow without much rainfall. But it will continue our weather weirdness. High temperatures will probably hit near or before dawn. Those early temperatures could still be in the mid or upper 60s, which isn't too far from record highs for November 1.

Then, as the day goes on, the temperature will keep gradually falling, making it to near 50 by dark.

After that, it's back to reality as the weekend will feature near normal temperatures for early November. That means highs in the 45 to 52 degree range and lows somewhere between 25 and 35 degrees. 

We might get a brief spike of well above normal temperatures again around Tuesday or Wednesday, but it won't be nearly as summer like as today will be. 

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