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| Current forecast for rain late tonight through Wednesday morning. More than an inch of rain could drench northern Vermont, where it is most needed. |
No big deal, only a quarter inch of rain, give or take in most places. Closer to a half inch in far southern Vermont, and about a tenth of an inch far north.
Be glad that's all we got out of Isaias. In North Carolina, the remnants of the hurricane spun off tornadoes, causing damage in parts of Raleigh and Fayetteville.
Still, we need more rain, and a couple of storms look like they will oblige. Forecasts for rainfall have increased. Yay! The weather pattern looks a bit on the wild side for the next few days. Not extreme or scary, but not calm either.
Let's get into it.
TODAY
The calm before the storm. It'll be cloudy in the north, partly cloudy south, with mild highs in the 60s, warmest southeast. There's a little drizzle around this morning that should dry up as we go through the day. There could be a late day shower north, but most of the day will be dry.
TUESDAY
A busy weather day for sure.
A stationary front will set up near northern Vermont tonight and part of tomorrow. A storm will move west to east along the front.
The result: Tuesday will be the first day long washout we've had in a long time. Especially in northern Vermont. The storm wouldn't have been that impressive if not for former Tropical Storm Rachel The tropical storm and its remnants caused wind, storm surges and flooding in the Desert Southwest over the weekend.
The former Rachel also stuck her nose in our storm's business. It is injecting energy and moisture into the system: The result: A bunch of rain. Some wind. Maybe even some thunderstorms.
The bottom line is it looks like northern Vermont in particular might get a bunch of rain. That's the part of Vermont that really needs the rain.
There's still time for something to go wrong, of course, but for now, areas north of Route 2 are forecast to receive an inch to an inch and a half of rain. Central Vermont should get maybe three quarters of an inch of rain, give or take. Far southern parts of the state should receive a half inch or less.
The rain and wind and clouds will probably keep temperatures all day in the 50s. There's some question as to whether a warm front will pop readings briefly warmer in some parts of the state. We shall see.
WEDNESDAY
A typical October day. Breezy and chilly, with quite a few clouds, especially north. Highs should reach the 50s, and it'll feel cooler than that with this gusts and clouds. There might be some light showers, especially in the northern mountains.
THURSDAY
Pick of the week. Sunshine, cool weather. Highs in the 50s.
FRIDAY
Another windy, rainy storm. This one could be a real foliage stripper. Hard to say how much rain we'll get. But it could be another relatively decent soaking.
SATURDAY
A blast of cold air will blow in with the coldest air of the season. In fact, it'll probably snow in Vermont late Friday night and Saturday. Enough to accumulate a little bit in the mountains. Maybe some snow flurries even in the valleys.
The American computer models usually over emphasize cold air a few days out, so this probably won't be as snowy as some people on social media are suggesting.
However, the average date of the first snow flurries in Burlington is October 15. So if a stray snowflake lands on Burlington Saturday, it wouldn't be that out of the ordinary.
Whether any snow flurries hit the valleys or not, so far, Saturday looks miserable. Temperatures look like they will hold in the 40s. Strong northwest winds will make it feel worse.
AFTER SATURDAY
Luckily, the cold blast won't last long, and a warming trend will start Sunday and continue into the following week.
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