Showing posts with label billion dollars. Show all posts
Showing posts with label billion dollars. Show all posts

Monday, January 22, 2024

63 Global Weather/Climate Disasters In 2023 Cost Billions In Disturbing Upward Trend

The interior of a flood-destroyed liquor store in Johnson,
Vermont on July 12, 2023. This was just one tiny
piece of the 63 weather and climate disasters 
worldwide in 2023 that cost more than $1 
billion in damage. 
 Several days ago, I told you how the United States in 2023 endured 28 weather and climate disasters that cost at least $1 billion each.  

Needless to say, these mega-disasters are increasingly a global phenomenon, and we have more receipts.

Jeff Masters over at Yale Climate Connections has the deets

"The planet was besieged by a record 63 billion dollar weather disaster sin 2023, surpassing the previous record of 57 set in 2020, said insurance broker Gallagher Re in its annual report issued January 17.  The total damage wrought by weather disasters in 2023 was $301 billion."

If you want a silver lining of sorts, that $300 billion in damage is a little less than the $360 billion in damage during 2022.

Different organizations have different ways of assessing disasters, so  Gallagher Re's figures no doubt vary somewhat from other sources. 

I was simultaneously surprised/not surprised to learn which disaster was the deadliest.  It turns out it was heat waves in Europe during the summer of 2023. These heat waves killed an estimated 15,400 people.

The surprise I felt by that stat is the fact the big death toll was not really reported in the global media. But the part of me that wasn't surprised is that heat waves are the deadliest kind of weather disaster. Hot weather doesn't get the attention you see with dramatic hurricanes, floods and tornadoes. Let's face it, heat waves are not photogenic. So searing, record hot weather does not grab the attention of the media or the public. 

If you want the worst death toll from a storm, that had to be the immense flash floods that hit Libya back in September. The official death toll from that disaster is over 4,300. But it's probably much higher since some reports tell us more than 8,000 people are still missing. 

Seven nations - Mexico, Libya, Spain, Argentina, New Zealand, Greece and Uruguay - had their most expensive weather disasters on record during 2023,

Severe thunderstorm damage has been increasing at a fast pace of 9.6 percent per year since 2000. Most of that extra damage is because people keep moving into more suburban and formerly rural places. Hail causes the majority of the damage. 

Like tornadoes, damaging hail usually causes its worse misery in long, narrow swaths. This suburban sprawl gives giant hail more targets to hit, so you get a lot of extra damage. 

ROLE OF CLIMATE CHANGE

Inflation and development contribute to the rise of more and more billion dollar disasters, said Gallagher Re. Climate change, however, is a big culprit, too.

Says the insurance broker:

"We continue to witness the ongoing influence of climate change on the behavior of individual events and broader weather patterns......The fingerprints are now regularly evident. If we do not meaningfully change the status quo and subsequently reverse the growth of carbon dioxide emissions then we should no longer be surprised at the consequences of more extreme weather/climate events that are influence by warmer ocean waters and a destabilized atmosphere."

Africa has seen a horrible uptick in weather and climate related disasters in recent years.

Nearly a quarter of Africa's 30 deadliest weather/climate disasters have occurred in just the past two years, Masters writes in Yale Climate Connection

Masters writes:

"This ominous figure could well be a harbinger of the future, as higher vulnerability, a growing population and more extreme weather events from climate change cause an increase in deadly disasters, even without accounting for the recurring episodes of catastrophic regional drought that can take tens of thousands of African lives in a single year."

All this is even more unfair than you'd think if you consider this: Except for Antarctica, Africa has likely contributed least to the atmosphere's increasing concentration of greenhouse gases that are driving this dangerous climate change.  

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

September Nationally Was Warm Month, Confirming Previous Reports; Disaster Mounting Too

Flooding from ex-Hurricane Ida in Manville, New 
Jersey in September. Ida will go down in history as
among the five most expensive hurricanes in 
U.S. history, says NOAA.
As the eastern two thirds of the United States enjoys a very balmy October so far, more official data has come in confirming September was a hot one for the nation as well.  

NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information says September was the fifth hottest for the lower 48 out of the 127 years in its data base.

The climatologists there also added some more disasters to their data base of billion dollar disasters, adjusted for inflation for 2021. More on that in a moment. 

The warmth in September brings the nation to its tenth warmest year on record, at least for the part going from January through September. 

In September, the western third of the nation, the northern Plains and New England were the warmest, relative to average. Eight states in the Northeast and West had one of their five warmest Septembers on record. Here in Vermont, we had our sixth warmest September on record.

February featured an intense Arctic outbreak that lowered average temperatures for that month, which in turn lowered the year's averages slightly. So this won't be one of the top five national hot years unless for the United States unless there is extraordinary warmth for the rest of the year. 

Precipitation for the nation in September averaged out to be pretty close to average, with a wet East and dry central part of the United States 

NCEI says that through the end of September, the United States had endured 18 disasters this year with estimated costs exceeding $1 billion.  The record for most such disasters in a single year - inflation adjusted - was just last year in 2020.  We unfortunately have a shot at tying or breaking that record if the rest of the year is super extreme. 

This year's disasters have been more costly than  last year.  So far, through the end of September, disaster costs have amounted to $104.8 billion, more than the $100.2 billion for all of 2020.  Disasters this year have caused twice as many fatalities as in 2020.

Hurricane Ida plus the subsequent floods the remains of that storm caused in the Northeast will cost more than $60 billion.  Costs from that storm are still being tallied, so that figure will go up.  Ida will be one of the top 5 most expensive hurricanes since at least 1980.

Due to some technical difficulties, the NCEI was not able to put all of its data into its September report, and will try to update it by sometime tomorrow. If warranted, I will update this post with the new data. Within about a week or so, NCEI will issue their latest monthly report on how the entire globe fared with September climate data.

That data is expected to show September to be among the hottest on record on a global basis, in addition to just the United States.