Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Vermont Storm Assessment And Forecast: It Was Well Predicted. Coming UP: Lots Of Cold, Not Much Storminess

This is the forecast of snowfall of the storm we just had,
issued less than 24 hours before it started. The southeastern
third of Vermont was expected to get roughly four inches of snow
with much less in western Vermont.....
The snow and schmutz we had last night and early this morning is over, leaving behind a low overcast, fog, and drizzle. 

The snow and sleet on the ground is slowly melting. But enough snow fell in eastern Vermont to guarantee a white Thanksgiving. 

Who knows whether there will be a white Christmas, but at least one holiday is snowy for some of us. 

The forecast location of the heaviest snow was spot on. The heaviest snow was expected along and east of the Green Mountains from Route 2 south. That's exactly what happened. 

Total snowfall, though, was a little more than forecast. The zone of heaviest snow was expected to bring three to five inches. However, several places received six inches, or at least close to it. I saw quite a few reports of more than five inches.

A map of actual snowfall from this storm from the 
National Weather Service office in South Burlington.
The location of the heaviest snow was spot on, but 
the amount of snow was a little heavier than forecast.
The snow winners seem to be 6.3 inches in Maidstone, up in the Northeast Kingdom and 6.0 in Ascutney, in southeastern Vermont. 

It really does look like the summits in the Green Mountains have established a snow cover for the winter. Before the storm, the top of Mount Mansfield had three inches on the ground.

 Several inches of additional snow covered the mountain in this storm. The weather is expected to stay fairly cold for the next week or two, so get used to snow covered mountains. Yay!

Going forward, there's not much exciting weather to talk about. Thanksgiving Day will probably be the warmest of the next week and a half at least. But it won't be that warm, as highs will probably only make it to the low 40s at best. 

Small disturbances from the northwest will keep us in a regime of continued colder than normal weather with minor episodes of snow showers. Winter is here. For now,.

For those who are not quite ready for winter, there's hints of warmer weather starting around the second week of December. However, these long range forecasts are notoriously iffy, so don't count on it! 

No comments:

Post a Comment