The snow has gotten at least into southern Vermont. Route 7 in Shaftsbury was looking pretty snowy at 5:15 p.m. today as this traffic cam shows. |
Bennington and Windham counties in the far south are still in play, as they should manage to see five to seven inches.
Forecasts for elsewhere in Vermont haven't changed much, maybe having backed off a smidge since this morning, but that will be barely noticeable.
It looks like the storm will track maybe a dozen or two miles further east than forecast this morning, which could cut down on those southern Vermont totals just slightly.
The wild card is the central and especially northern Champlain Valley which will be in a battle ground between very dry, Arctic air heading south from Canada, and moisture streaming north from the storm.
We know the cold air will at least mostly win out, and prospects for more than an inch or two near Lake Champlain seem slim. There's a possibility that so much dry, bitter air comes in that nothing comes down up near St. Albans, North Hero, Swanton and Alburgh.
The snow has been creeping northward late this afternoon. It started snowing in Bennington around 3 p.m. Traffic cameras appeared to show heavy snow falling on Route 9 in the mountains between Bennington and Brattleboro as of 5 p.m. It looked like it was just starting to snow in Mount Holly, a little southeast of Rutland, as of 5:15 p.m.
It won't look like much but the low temperatures will make that dusting of snow compact on highways into a visually imperceptible black ice.
Careful overnight and during your commute tomorrow morning. Or just stay home.
The snow will be over by dawn, but if you have to travel, especially south, consider waiting until later in the morning if possible.
Note that the bad roads extend through central and southern New England and on down into the Middle Atlantic States.
The anticipated cold wave will be in place Monday through Wednesday, with little change in the forecast. However, after this storm passes, it looks like we'll see no real storms for at least a week, maybe more.
The only question would be if the storm that's prompting rare winter storm warnings along the Gulf Coast come much closer to New England than forecast toward the end of the week. Odds are against that, at least at this point.
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