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| This morning's snowfall prediction map for the quick storm Sunday night. More so than usual, this map is subject to change. We could end up seeing a lot more, or a lot less snow than indicated here |
Actually, it'll be gusty statewide in Vermont, but the Champlain Valley and mountain summits are where the real wind action is.
Already, as of 7 a.m. a few spots in the Champlain Valley have gusted to between 45 and 50 mph.
Expect a few power outages and a some scattered issues with trees and branches down. And some rough rides if you're taking a ferry across Lake Champlain.
Ice will probably be shifting around on the lake, too. Stay off the ice today, it could break off and float away. This is true even if you think you're on "safe" ice near the shore.
Enjoy the vaguely thawing temperatures today, with highs in the 35 to 42 degree range. It will start to get cold late tonight, introducing us to our long anticipated Arctic blast. Daily low temperatures during much of the upcoming week will be below zero for most of us. The bulk of the cold air will be with us from Monday through Thursday morning.
Just as the cold first arrives, we still have a real wild card for Sunday night.
SNOW QUESTIONS
As of this Saturday morning, the computer models still haven't resolved how far north and west into New England the heavier snow will get from a quick hitting nor'easter that should blow through New England Sunday night.
Depending on the track of the storm, much of Vermont could get a dump or a big bust.
Usually, about 36 hours before a storm, meteorologists are able to work out fairly well how much snow ill come. Not this time. It looks like just a tiny deviation in the path of the storm will make a big difference.
The forecast for Rutland is a great example. As of this morning, the prediction for Rutland is four inches of new snow. But there's a 10 percent chance of just a trace, and a 10 percent chance of a 10 inch dump.
The prediction in Burlington is for an inch of snow out of this, as northwest Vermont is likely to be outside the heaviest stripe of snow. But there's a 10 percent chance of nothing, and a 10 percent chance of seven inches.
Though we still don't have a great handle on expected accumulations, we do know there will tend to be more in southeast Vermont and less up in the northwest.
For now, the likely scenario is temperatures will be in the 30s just after midnight very early Sunday morning but will fall quickly through the 20s and into the teens during the day.
By the time the snow arrives - if it arrives -temperatures will be in the 8 to 12 degree range. So it would be a cold, light fluffy snowfall. If places do receive several inches of snow, there won't be much water content in that powder.
There's still a winter storm watch in effect for this thing in Bennington and Windham counties. Depending on updated forecasts, we might see some advisories get posted further north in the Green Mountain State.
The winter storm watch is also in effect for central and southern New Hampshire, parts of Maine, Massachusetts, Connecticut and the Hudson Valley of New York, among a few other places in the Northeast.
The snow should be mostly out of here by around dawn Monday, give or take. But given the low temperatures, it will be difficult to get all the snow off the roads, since salt doesn't work all that great when it's under 20 degrees.
Some of that snow would compact into ice under car tires, so the Monday morning drive to work won't be all that much fun.
You'll also want to have extra blankets and snacks in the car, too, and a full tank of gas if it's not an EV. With the cold air and low wind chills, you want to be prepared in case you get stuck.
The cold wave will start to ease Thursday. Early indications are after that we'll have typically variable winter weather, with some cold days and some afternoons that aren't that bad.
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