Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Vermont Keeps Dodging Dangerous, Severe Weather, But Not The Showers

After a cloudy, sometimes showery day, some daffodils
in St. Albans, Vermont enjoyed a brief burst of
evening sun Tuesday. 
I hope I'm not jinxing things now, but so far in 2025, Vermont has spent the year dodging some very serious, scary weather events.  

They keep happening everywhere.

Every time I turn around, somewhere in the U.S. there's another wildfire, tornado, flood, blizzard, ice storm, dust storm. You name it.

Yet, here in Vermont, we keep cruising along with the usual small scale storms, temperatures that have generally run on the warm side, but mostly not extreme.

There's been little damage so far in 2025 from wind, rain or other nasty stuff, unlike what we've seen in recent years.

So it was yesterday, when severe weather and flash flooding passed by to our south and west, while we in Vermont were bystanders, umbrellas in hand in case one of those lighter showers that roamed around came overhead,

At least one tornado touched down in eastern Pennsylvania, near the New Jersey border.  Flash flood warnings blared in several central New York counties

A slow moving upper level low was to blame for this. In the late spring and summer, these things can get dangerous if you're under the right spot.  Such an upper level low was responsible for the extreme flooding in Vermont's Northeast Kingdom last July 30.

On Tuesday, a feed of moisture and instability just to the east of the low center created the conditions for the flooding and severe weather. 

Vermont was too far east to for that activity, so we just got  more showers, 

Today, we'll still be in the "wrong" spot for any dangerous weather. This time, the upper level low will be almost on top of us.

That sounds bad, but directly beneath these things, you usually get a bunch of showers, but nothing scary. 

The sun we saw this morning will get lost in an increasingly cloudy skies. By this afternoon, it will be raining. Not all the time, but there should be quite a few showers around again.  Though a couple spots might see a brief downpour, no severe storms or flooding is in the cards. 

WHAT'S NEXT

Evening sun breaks through the clouds Tuesday in
St. Albans, Vermont, lighting up a forest that is
rapidly greening up in this week's mild, damp weather.
After harassing us for days, our upper level low will finally start to get out of hair tomorrow to be replaced by, you guessed it! Another upper level low!  

Thursday will stay cloudy. And it will be quite a bit cooler than the last couple of days. 

The new storm in the upper atmosphere looks like it wants to provide us with a chilly, rainy Friday. The rain might well last into Saturday.  Because of course, if it's Saturday in Vermont, it will rain.  

There is hope that most of the Saturday rain will hit in the morning and they dry up during the day. 

We do see signs of a change in the weather pattern starting Sunday and lasting more or less all of next week.  This would give us a spell of mostly dry weather, with summer-like warmth. That would mean highs in the 75 to 82 degree range and lows between 55 and 62 degrees.

Maybe it's time to make sure the air conditioners work.

During this warm spell, it might not be dry all the time. Scattered showers and thunderstorms could still develop from time to time. But it should be rain-free most of the time next week. Fingers crossed.

Though some other areas of the nation during this time will experience flooding and severe storms and maybe a few tornadoes, Vermont will continue to sit that awful stuff out.

 I still see no signs yet of any destructive, threatening or extreme weather arriving anytime soon. But, we live in the violent weather world of climate change, so I still fear the other shoe will drop eventually. 

But for now, keep enjoying what has long been a spell of blissful if not perfect Vermont weather. 


 

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