Will The Clouds Over Vermont Last Forever? No, But......

The perennial gardens in St. Albans, Vermont have
really taken off in this week's mild, damp weather.

 As expected, this week has been awfully rainy in southern Vermont and pretty damn cloudy up north.

The clouds will continue for a few day. And a new fly in the ointment is threatening to continue the dreariness into the weekend.

More on that in a bit.   

Showers finally did work their way into northern Vermont early this morning, though they are not amounting to a huge amount of rain.

Meanwhile, parts of southern Vermont have had one or two inches of rain the past couple of days, so things are soggy down that way. 

That opens the door for a low but not zero risk of localized flooding this afternoon south of Route 4. 

After the morning showers depart, scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms could develop here and there across the area.  If any particularly heavy ones slowly rumble over sodden southern Vermont, there could be some local flash flood issues.

It does look like if any downpours do get going this afternoon, they're most likely in southern Vermont. 

That's a common problem in the summer, so I guess it's the first time this season we have to bring the risk of flash flooding up.

That said, I don't see a great risk of this happening today. But it's a sign of the season, and a signal that flash flooding is the most common, dangerous weather hazard Vermont usually faces. 

WEDNESDAY

We actually get sort of a break tomorrow. The sun should cut through the clouds occasionally. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should roam around again, but they'll be hit and miss.  The day won't be a washout. It'll be mild, too, with highs near 70.  It's remarkable how a week of mild, damp weather has really greened up Vermont.

It's peak foliage season as far as I'm concerned. My favorite time of year is now, when there are new leaves on the trees, in all sorts of various shades of new pale green.  The woods are punctuated with the white blooms of shadbush here and there. In a few lucky areas, the forest floor is carpeted with blooming trillium. 

Just lovely, no matter what the weather. 

Anyway, enough waxing poetic about spring. I can't help myself. I do this every year.

LATE WEEK

Thursday and Friday look chilly for the season as north winds take over.   Highs both days will only get into the low 50s for math of us. Cold spots might stay in the 40s under generally cloudy skies.  I told you it would be awhile before we see a lot of sun. 

At least we won't get a lot of rain during this period, just light showers. 

SATURDAY THREAT

Early this week, it appeared that this coming Saturday would break the long streak of rainy weekends.  Now, we're not so sure. 

Yet another cut off low, to replace the one that's been harassing us this week, will form somewhere in the Northeast. That would provide us with another rainy Saturday.

Maybe.

There is some hope that this will form far enough east so that maybe western parts of Vermont at least escape the rain. The computer models are still arguing over whether Vermont hits the bullseye with rain, or we end up just off the outer edge of this thing.  

So far, most forecast trends have been favoring the outer edge scenario, but given our Saturday track record of late, I'm not promising anything. 

There's also hope that this thing would be out of here by Sunday, providing a bright, sunny Mother's Day to grace the Green Mountains.

Another maybe to look forward to: There's a chance that next week could give us the warmest weather we've had all year so far.  

Here comes summer. Perhaps.