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A little morning sun graced this iris in my St. Albans, Vermont gardens this morning before clouds moved in, The gardens - and everyone else in Vermont - were bracing for another wet upcoming Saturday |
Hell, the way it's been going, I wonder if we should just count on rainy Saturdays through the rest of the year.
NEVER A DRY SATURDAY
As I've been reminding folks, this will be the tenth wet Saturday in a row with measurable rain, at least as noted in Burlington, Vermont.
Well, technically ninth. Because on Saturday, March 29, it was snow, not rain. But it amounted to 0.65 inches of liquid equivalent, so we'll count it.
Eleven Saturdays ago, March 22, there was only a trace of rain. The last time we got through an entire Saturday without a drop of rain was on March 15. Bonus, that day was warm for the season, running 25 degrees milder than normal
Still, even that wasn't a perfect day. It clouded up in the afternoon, and winds gusted to 48 mph.
The only other Saturday so far this year that was completely dry in Burlington, Vermont was January 25. Three other dates, January 18, and February 1 and February 22, had just traces of precipitation. The rest had measurable rain and/or snow.
THIS WEEKEND'S FORECAST
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This photo was taken in St. Albans, Vermont on the last rain-free Saturday we had, March 15, 2025. |
A few places will just get sprinkles. Most of the rest of us will see less than a tenth of an inch of rain. So really no biggie.
After fairly grim forecasts earlier in the week, Friday is actually looking......not bad.
The sun will be out some of the time, and there will only be widely scattered, brief showers at most. It'll get into the low 70s in quite a few places, which is about average for this time of year.
Saturday
Then there's Saturday. Hoo boy!
I mean, I suppose there is good news. We shouldn't have any flooding, aside from ponding of water in a few places and creeks and brooks that start getting swift again. But nothing to really damage roads or buildings. There won't be thunderstorms either, so no worries about hail or high winds like we had on Saturday, May 17.
But it will be a soaking wet day, with our next out of season nor'easter.
Forecasts still vary as to where the swaths of heaviest rain will hit.
Official forecasts this morning have trended east, but that is uncertain because predictions have been windshield wipering between a storm track along the coast, or much closer to Vermont with storm blasting northward through New Hampshire .
Those differences in computer models had not been resolves as of this morning. In a sense, it doesn't really make a difference because Saturday will be a wet one in the entire state of Vermont regardless.
Right now, forecasts are going for a little over a half inch of rain in the Champlain Valley and three quarters to an inch across central, eastern and southern Vermont.
If the storm goes inland more, the rain totals would be higher from the Green Mountains west, with even the Champlain Valley getting an inch.
The timing is such that you won't get a break in the rain all day. Some of our recent rainy Saturdays have at least had a few hours here and there in which it wasn't raining. It looks like this time around, it'll be raining when you get up in the morning. It will still be going at lunch time, and going still at the dinner hour.
Too bad, because a lot of outdoor weddings and other events happen this time of year.
Sunday
Sunday will be the better of the two weekend days, but that's not saying much. First of all, the weather won't exactly be screaming "summer!" Not with highs in the 50s to around 60 in most places. That's a good 15 degrees colder than average for this time of year.
Add in a stiff northwest wind and it will feel even chillier. It will also be mostly too completely cloudy with light but chilly rain showers roaming around.
Summer Comes Back
But never fear! Summer has NOT been pre-empted for the year. Monday will also be chilly for the season, but not as bad as Sunday with highs in the 60s. Tuesday will bring us near average temperatures around 70,
After that, next week continues to look warm and moderately humid. It doesn't look like we'll have anything insanely hot, but it will feel like summer, which is nice!
No word yet on what things will be like on Saturday, June 7, which is the next Saturday after this weekend's. Long range forecasts so far offer no help or clues as to what will happen then.
But you know our tradition of Saturdays and rain by now....
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