Friday, December 31, 2021

Messy Vermont Weekend, Update Forecast

The latest snow prediction map from the National Weather
Service in South Burlington, Vermont has three or more inches
over far northwestern Vermont after some ice, but much
less at points further south. 

 There's lots of murky New Year's Eve weather up and down the East Coast today, certainly including Vermont. In the Green Mountain State, those foggy, drizzly, damp and dark through your New Year's Eve celebrations tonight, and through the day tomorrow as well.  

At least temperatures for now are pretty far above normal, especially at night. 

It's Saturday and Sunday we still have to worry about. 

An at least temporary change to colder, more wintry weather is sweeping across the nation from west to east, and we in Vermont will eventually get to "enjoy" that. 

Snow is falling on the terrible fire zone in Colorado this afternoon.  Winter storm warnings are up for a broad area in the middle of the nation from Colorado to Illinois. A broad area from eastern Oklahoma through the Ozarks and onto Kentucky, Tennessee and West Virginia are bracing for floods Saturday. 

Some of those floods look like they might be pretty substantial, and will include the area hit hardest by December tornadoes.

We also have a risk of tornadoes in the Southeast Saturday. 

It appears 2022 wants to start off the way most of 2021 was - filled with weather and climate disasters. 

For Vermonters, the New Year won't get off to nearly as dire a start, but you'll still want to pay attention.  The caveat that's been in place remains: This is a tricky forecast, and subject to change. 

It's been warm in the East and South for the past couple
of weeks. Believe it or not, I took this shot of a lovely 
flower in bloom on New Year's Eve in a Chick Fil A 
parking lot in southern Delaware. 

The weather models have trended colder with storm, but the scenario is similar to previous forecasts. Light rain Saturday evening will change to freezing rain, then to sleet then to snow, going northwest to southeast across Vermont. 

The bulk of the moisture will be departing by the time the snow reaches southeastern Vermont, so they'll get the least.

At this point - subject to change - far northwest Vermont will get a glaze of ice followed by three or four inches of snow Saturday night and Sunday. The rest of northern and central Vermont is in for that glaze followed by one to three inches of snow. Southern Vermont gets ice, but little snow.

Like the Christmas ice, there won't be a lot of problems with fallen trees and power lines. But I guarantee some real problems with the roads Saturday night and Sunday.

I'll get an update up on this tomorrow morning. Happy New Year! 

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