Thursday, August 24, 2023

For Once, A Vermont Rainfall Without A Flood (We Believe). Also Tropical Trouble To Avoid Us, Too

 It's going to rain again in Vermont, and some of it might come down pretty heavily for brief periods. 

This projected path of soon to be Hurricane Franklin
looks like it might threaten us here in New England.
But looks are deceiving. All indications are it will
curve well to our east and not bother us at all. 
For once, though, it doesn't look like we will deal with any flooding. As long as I'm not jinxing it here.

This is going to feel a bit like an autumn storm than a summer one.  It'll cloud up pretty quickly later today and it will get breezy, especially in the Champlain Valley. 

Overnight, especially after midnight, it will rain pretty consistently. There might be a rumble of thunder in a few spots, but it won't be anything to get too worked up about. 

Rain will continue into Friday morning, as it looks now, but it will become spottier as the day goes on. 

The fall-like unsettled weather continues all day Friday and through Saturday.  It won't rain all the time, but it will be cloudy and cool, sometimes showery, occasionally drizzly.  You'll really feel like autumn is coming. 

That's not to say we won't have any warm summer weather before autumn really gets here. It's just that we're more prone to cooler temperatures now that we're heading out of August and toward September.

TROPICAL TROUBLE AVOIDING US

Another big of good news with this weather pattern is that the rather weak storminess over us for the next few days should keep any tropical trouble at bay.  Tropical Storm Franklin, having flooded the Dominican Republic this week is heading north into the west-central Atlantic.  

Franklin is expected to strengthen into a hurricane, actually maybe a pretty big one. Of course, we in Vermont would be wary of a northbound hurricane after the wet summer we had. In this case, though, a southward dip in the jet stream that will linger over New England into next week will push Franklin more northeastward. So it will pass safely well east of New England during the middle of next week, and won't affect us at all.

It's possible Franklin could cause trouble in eastern Nova Scotia or Newfoundland, so Environment Canada will be watching that. 

This is so much better than the weather pattern we had in July, which brought us so much flooding. The dip in the jet stream back then was centered over the Great Lakes. That would have steered a storm like Franklin toward us. Not happening this time! 

We're heading into the peak of hurricane season, so expect news of more tropical storms and hurricanes popping up over the next few weeks. There's no telling where they might go. But so far, we in northern New England look blessedly safe from these things. 

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