Here We Go Again: After A Cool Break, Another Vermont Drenching Possible

Too soon? The first autumnal cool spell of the summer
hit, and this house in Burlington, Vermont was already
set for the upcoming winter with snow shovels and
a salt bucket. Instead of snow, we're watching for
the risk of potential heavy rain again late Thursday and Friday. 

 We've got one more nice, dry day to go today before we revert back to that same old drama of watching the skies for severe storms and heavy rain. 

This morning was about tied with yesterday as being the coolest since mid-June.  In many northern Vermont communities on Tuesday, temperatures never made it to 70 degrees. It was the first autumnal hint of the summer. 

Today will be a little warmer, but still refreshing and dry. New potential problems start later Thursday. 

A couple of pretty strong disturbances are heading our way.  They'll at first pull humid air back into the region by Thursday night, and that will linger through Friday.

Unlike in previous forecasts from a couple days ago, meteorologists are seeing signs of scattered showers and storms that could come any time Thursday, but especially in the afternoon and evening. They will be hit and miss, so not everybody will get wet. And Thursday's activity won't renew any flooding problems.

The issue now is that Thursday night, we could have strong to locally severe storms, with heavy rain, and more heavy rainers are likely on Friday. 

The threat of storms Thursday night is still iffy.  Meteorologists are seeing signs that the atmosphere could support a few strong to severe ones, especially north. Usually, storms really get going in the heat of the day, not at night. 

Thursday night  might end up being an exception. But the alchemy has to line up just right to pull something like that off, so it's a wait and see game. We'll have a better idea on this by tomorrow morning. 

More locally heavy rain is definitely something to watch on Friday, too.  We'll have to watch for slow-moving showers and thunderstorms containing downpours. 

The good news is that - for a change - it will have been a few days since any downpours hit Vermont by the time the potential storms roll in Thursday night. The last time it rained hard anywhere in the state was on Saturday. 

The soils, though still wet, have had a chance to dry out some. That means they'll be able to absorb some of the rainfall we expect Thursday night and Friday. 

Bottom line: Wait for details on this, but Thursday night could end up being rather noisy with storms. 

And, as we often have this long, weird summer, we need to be ready for just the possibility of local flash floods once again. 

So far, this new episode doesn't look like it will be particularly widespread. In fact, depending on how things go, there might be no issues at all.