Wednesday, August 30, 2023

Summer To Arrive In Vermont Just In Time For Autumn

Now that summer is ending, summer weather looks
like it will finally arrive for September. Odds
strongly favor warmer than normal weather here
in the opening week of the new month, and 
probably beyond. 
 True to form, more rain fell on Vermont today, and in Addison County, it was heavy enough this morning to prompt a flood warning in part of the county. 

So far, I haven't seen any confirmed reports of flooding in that county, and the rain there has tapered off for now. 

But that's the story of the entire summer of 2023, as we well know. We've had repeated storms, floods and seemingly endless rain.  It hasn't been much of a summer, really. 

Now, we're coming up on the Labor Day weekend, which is the unofficial close of summer. And wouldn't you know, it's beginning to look like that will mark the start of an extended period of very warm to hot and dry summer weather. 

Go figure. 

Most of the extended forecasts put a big ridge of warm high pressure over the eastern United States. Hot, humid, but mostly rain-free weather looks like it wants to pour into the Northeast, including Vermont next week.

The heavier rains that hit central and southern Vermont this morning were departing by late morning, but scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon ahead of one last weather front. A few storms could be strong-ish, but it doesn't look like we'll have anything severe. And the storms will be hit and miss. Some of us will get wet again, some of us won't.

Thursday will be dry, sunny and on the cool side for this time of year, but nothing that remarkable. (Earlier forecasts had called for a true taste of autumn with downright chilly temperatures, but computer models have really backed off on that idea).

So expect highs in the 60s too around 70 Thursday, and a cool Friday morning. 

Then, summer arrives! Yay! In September. 

It's unclear just how hot it will get or how long it will last. It's possible the warmer valleys in Vermont could touch 90 degrees next week, but that's iffy. It's harder to reach 90 in September than it is in July and August, as normally we should be cooling down into autumn. 

It's possible that weak cold fronts could occasionally temper the heat beyond midweek, but that's unknown, too. Generally, forecasts call for above normal temperatures well into second week of September.

Also, for a change, odds somewhat favor below normal rainfall through the first week of September and probably a little beyond that. 

No comments:

Post a Comment