Saturday, December 2, 2023

Early Alert: More Vermont Heavy, Wet Snow, Power Outages Possible Sunday Night

An initial snow forecast for upcoming storm Sunday night
Take this with a grain of salt. Updated forecasts could
greatly increase or decrease expected amounts.
EDINBURGH, SCOTLAND - I'm glad I'm overseas and not dealing with wet, dreary weather in Vermont and the potential for yet another wet, heavy snowstorm over the Green Mountain State.

Forecasters are watching a storm for later Sunday and Sunday night that could bring another round of heavy, wet snow and power outages to at least parts of Vermont. 

The trouble is, as of Saturday morning, the weather models are still all over the place with this upcoming storm.  Some give us mostly rain, others mostly snow, others split the difference.

That lack of agreement is unusual given that the storm is only 36 or so hours away.  The one area of some agreement among the models is that precipitation, whether it be rain, snow or a combination, will probably be moderate to heavy. 

On top of that, much like the surprise, heavy wet snowstorm on November 27, we do know that temperatures will be marginal. In other words. if it's only a degree or two warmer than expected, then the storm would have more rain than snow, so it wouldn't be that big a deal.

If it's a degree or two colder than forecast, then the wet, heavy snow will be more widespread than expected, which means more widespread power outages.

The National Weather Service in South Burlington has so far held off on issuing any winter weather watches, because the forecast is so extremely iffy. 

Initial forecasts issued by the NWS early Saturday seem to call for three to seven inches of wet snow across most of northern and central Vermont and high elevations of southern Vermont, with one to three inches in the warmer Champlain Valley and lower Connecticut Valley.

Take that forecast with an enormous grain of salt, though. It's almost certain to change one way or another before we arrive at the storm. 

Since we've already had one big, unpleasant weather surprise recently, I'd get ready for another, just to be safe. That means charge your devices, have LED candles at the ready and be prepared for a terrible Monday morning commute. If you prepare and nothing happens no great loss, right?

So far at least, it seems the best chances of heavy, wet snow are along and east of the Green Mountains. But that could change, too. 

Before we get to the storm, expect rather overcast, somewhat mild and dreary conditions through Sunday afternoon. There's a chance of rain today, mainly north and patchy drizzle or even freezing drizzle overnight tonight. 

I'll try to provide updates best I can, though since I'm in Edinburgh, I might not be fully able to keep on top of it ,unfortunately. As is always the case, rely on the National Weather Service in South Burlington and the excellent television and radio meteorologists in the Green Mountain State for the best updates. 

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