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| Henry the Weather Dog, right, gauges the wind and cloud cover yesterday at a St. Albans dog park. His much larger friend, Cooper, left, assists with the effort |
Elsewhere, as of 7 a.m. it was 36 degrees in Lyndonville, 37 in Newport, and 39 in Montpelier. I'm sure there was a patch or two of frost in the coldest hollows of the Northeast Kingdom. It's fall, folks. Astronomical autumn doesn't hit until September 22. But autumn weather in Vermont always hits before that date.
That changeable weather we've been talking about has arrived, and every day this week will be different from the previous. But there will be no extremes. Just noticeable day-to-day differences, but nothing to write home to the mom or whoever.
Given the fact the El Nino is looming and climate change tends makes the weather more wild and out of control, Vermont has been blessed with incredibly steady-state weather.
Incredibly, since August 10 - more than a month - high temperatures have only bounced between 69 and 82 degrees in Burlington. That's a range of only 13 degrees. It's as if the bland, pleasant weather San Diego normally receives plopped itself down in Vermont.
Based on historical records, high temperatures in Burlington during this period could have potentially ranged from the upper 40s to upper 90s. That gives you an idea of how steady state temperatures have been.
Enjoy it while you can. The other shoe will drop eventually.
High temperatures probably won't go outside that 13-degree range for the next few days, but might finally get lower than that 69 degree floor by next weekend. Here are the details:
TODAY
As is almost always the case, the morning sunshine should boost temperatures quickly into the 60s to around 70. Clouds will increase during the day as a weak front approaches. Tonight will be much warmer than last night, because of the clouds, with lows mostly in the low to mid 50s.
WEDNESDAY
That weak front, as it's fading away overhead, might deposit a few isolated showers early in the morning. This will be so, so far from a soaking.Most of us will get a trace of rain, or nothing. The "wettest" places could have a few hundredths of an inch. The rest of the day should stay dry, but clouds will linger. We'll call it partly to mostly cloudy.
It'll be warm, though, the balmiest day of the week, as highs get into the 70s. Maybe near 80 in the lower Connecticut River Valley.
THURSDAY
Another weather disturbance will come in from the west in our fast-changing weather pattern. This one looks like it might go by to our south. That means southern Vermont would get more rain than the north. As it stands now, this won't be a blockbuster.
There might be a quarter to a third of an inch of rain in southern Vermont. North of Route 2, we'll only see less than a tenth of an inch.
The National Weather Service in South Burlington tells us the high temperature forecast is tricky. It depends on when the rain arrives, and how much falls. For now, it looks like it will get into the 70s before the rain arrives, mostly in southern and central Vermont. If the rain arrives sooner, highs will only be in the 60s, especially in southern Vermont.
FRIDAY
Tentatively looks good. If current forecasts hold, it would be much like yesterday - partly sunny with highs in the 60s. But since weather systems are moving so quickly, it's hard to say for sure if this will actually play out as forecast.
NEXT WEEKEND
Some sort of storm system looks like it might be near the Northeast. Some computer models give Vermont a nice soaker rain. But we've seen this movie before. We're promised a needed soaking, and it doesn't really materialize.
In fact, although the American computer models are currently dumping a fair amount of rain on Vermont sometime next weekend, the European model sends most or all of the rain to our south.
As usual, we'll just have to wait for clarity on that.
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