The Good Old Summertime Visits Vermont For A Few Days

An otherworldly view of Lake Champlain near 
Colchester Point, Vermont during sunset 
Saturday evening. 

Saturday was a winner, wasn't it? For a good part of the day we had bright sun, warm breezes, and the leaves on the trees were that perfect peak of new spring foliage in a million different, gleaming shades of green. 

Even when it clouded it up late in the day, it was still spectacular, at least where I was near Lake Champlain. 

The setting sun bouncing off clouds and scattered showers created weird but beautiful hues of deep, otherworldly blue, bright orange and a multitude of other bright and dark shades. 

TODAY

Now it's Sunday morning, and we're starting Part 2 of a beautiful weekend. A bit of haze early this morning gave the sky a baby blue hue, matching nicely with the fresh green of spring. 

We might have a few clouds here and there today but it's going to be gorgeous!

High temperatures will have quite a range across Vermont. Up in the Northeast Kingdom it'll probably hold in the 60s.  A few low 80s might well pop up in the warmer valleys south. 

Most of the rest of  Vermont should hold in the low to mid 70s, but cooler right near Lake Champlain. because of the chilly lake water. Which is where we get into the caution part of the forecast for the next few days. 

The National Weather Service has issued a special weather statement warning of the dangers of cold water. A lot of you will be tempted to jump into the water, kayak, paddle board, or get the sailboats out. 

But if you fall into the water, you're screwed. Lakes and rivers and ponds are still mighty cold. If you fall in, hypothermia sets in damn quickly.  As you quickly get cold, your arms and legs stop working right and you might not be able to swim your way out of trouble. 

Out on the broad areas of Lake Champlain, there should be some gusty northwest winds. Stronger south winds are due tomorrow and Tuesday.  The winds and waves could be enough to tip over kayaks and cause real trouble with other small boats. So you might want to hold off on those lake adventures for awhile. 

MONDAY

Another view of the sunset over Lake Champlain 
Saturday evening in the midst of a beautiful weekend. 

A warm front should blow through in the morning with clouds. There might even be a spot shower here and there, but it won't amount to much. 

The warm front will be up in Canada by afternoon, so we should clear up and turn warm.  Valleys across most of the state will reach the low 80s.  Many of those places, including in the Burlington area, will have their first 80 degree temperatures of the season. 

While all this niceness is going on in New England, the Plains and Midwest will endure a big outbreak of severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, high winds, gorilla hail, along with dust and wildfires in some areas. We often complain, with justification, of annoying weather here in Vermont, but at least it's not scary. So count your lucky stars. 

TUESDAY

This will easily be the warmest day of the week. We'll get off to a warm start, as temperatures at the break of dawn will be in the 50s in much of Vermont, and the low 60s in the Champlain Valley. That's a pretty typical start to the day in July. 

The July theme will keep going as highs for most of us should reach the 80s. Also just like July, there's a chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Forecasters are still struggling with how many clouds those storms will bring, how early in the afternoon the showers and storms will start, and how widespread they'll become. 

Those factors will determine how warm it gets. If there's lots of clouds and rain and showers, temperatures will hold near 80. If the sun lasts most of the day, some spots could flirt with 90.  Cloud and showers appear less likely in the southeast than in the northwest. 

With that in mind, for now at least,  the National Weather Service in South Burlington is going for a highs of 81 degrees in St. Albans, 85 in Burlington, 86 in Montpelier, 87 in Rutland and 90 in Springfield. 

Those wouldn't be record highs, as all time highs for Tuesday's date around Vermont are in the 90 to 92 degree range. 

But Tuesday will be hotter than we're accustomed to, and it will be turning more humid. You'll want to take it easy with the outdoor work and/or recreation. 

WEDNESDAY

We're still waiting on clarity as to when during Wednesday a cold front comes through. If it blows through in the morning, we just get a few showers followed by drier and eventually cooler air. If it's late in the day, we could see a couple strong thunderstorms in a few places. Stay tuned on that one. 

LATE WEEK/WEEKEND

Long range forecasts get dicey and are prone to change. But Thursday and Friday look relatively cool, but not weird or annoying for this time of year. Early guesses call for highs in the 60s.  Signs point toward maybe some rain later Friday or Saturday, but that's not a promise. The forecast will probably change quite a bit between now and then.  

Gorgeous Spring Weekend In Vermont, Stays Beautiful Beginning of Week

Yesterday afternoon's satellite view tells the story. Narrow high
pressure nosing down from Quebec is keeping Vermont
sunny for the most part. Low pressure in eastern
Canada kept the Northeast Kingdom cloudy yesterday.
Today, that eastern Canada is gone so the Northeast Kingdom
will be sunny today. Those clouds you see in the upper
left corner are diving to the southeast. That might
turn far southwest Vermont cloudy later today but
it'll be sunnier the further northeast you go. 

Our spell of dry, more or less sunny weather in Vermont continues today through Tuesday. With a warming trend to boot.  

It was almost too cool on Friday, especially in the Northeast Kingdom  

Low pressure spinning near the Maritime Provinces of Canada and high pressure way the hell up there around Hudson Bay provided Vermont with two dramatically different types of weather.

North and east of Interstate 89, it was a cloudy, breezy and notably chilly day.  Shades of March, actually. Highs never got out of the 40s and wind chills at times were in the 30s. Not a nice day. 

South and west of Interstate 89, it was entirely a different story. Sure, it was cool and breezy, but temperatures were in the low to mid 50s, so pretty reasonable. And quite sunny and bright. The southwestern third of the state had not one single cloud in the sky.

It cleared up everywhere overnight. The dry air, the clear skies and the lighter winds got us pretty chilly by dawn today. I noticed Morrisville was down to 24 at 6 a.m. and Montpelier was at 25. Most of us were in the 27 to 33 degree range as the sun began to rise.

Other than those chilly temperatures this morning, that high pressure is gradually nosing down from northern Quebec. But it's not really bringing any really cool air with it. At least this far south. So a slow warm up will start today and continue

TODAY

We'll pick up a few extra degrees this afternoon compared to  yesterday as temperatures make it into the mid and upper 50s.  It'll be places south and west of Interstate 89 that eventually get the clouds today as a rainy disturbance treks from around Toronto and western New York this morning, making it down to New York City tonight. 

It won't be an overcast sky for the most part, but when you get down toward Bennington, it'll probably be pretty gray by the end of the day.  A sprinkle might even make it as far as Bennington tonight, but otherwise the rain will stay in New York. 

Meanwhile, the Northeast Kingdom, which was so cloudy yesterday, might see some high clouds, but the day will be sunny. 

SUNDAY

The National Weather Service is going with partly sunny skies tomorrow, which makes sense as there might be some lingering clouds from that thing that went through New York State. But it's going to be a gorgeous day no matter. Highs should top out near 60 degrees. Get out there and enjoy it. 

MONDAY/TUESDAY

The start of the week will be call in sick to work days. Not because you are sick, I hope, but because you're "sick" enough to just adore spring.  Highs both days will get well into the 60s, maybe even flirt with 70 degrees.  You'll want to enjoy these days because....

WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND

........ no good weather in Vermont goes unpunished.

The punishment starts next Wednesday or Thursday, as we'll get into a much cloudier, more showery pattern that looks like it could last well into May. I'm waffling on which day because some computer models hold off the showers until Wednesday night or Thursday. 

It looks like an annoying weather pattern more than anything else. It won't rain all the time, but almost every day starting Wednesday and continuing on more than a week after should have at least a chance of showers. 

Unless a very wet weather system to poke its nose into this weather pattern - an iffy proposition - we also might not have the kind of soaking rain we occasionally need to keep everything moist enough. Especially now that everything is getting set to bloom and the forests are getting ready to leaf out. 

Instead, it would be mostly those pesky, light showers. Or very, very brief downpours that also don't really soak everything down. It will also be a cool weather pattern. Monday and Tuesday might be the warmest days you'll see in quite awhile. 

I think May might turn out to be one of those months that are cool, and damp, a reluctant spring. Then, sometime later in the month, we might flip right over to hot summer weather. I have no forecasts that says that's going to happen.  Because it's impossible to forecast the weather a month in advance.

But I just have that feeling. I've seen it before, and I think we might see it again. As always, stay tuned.