Despite the vaguely mild weather today, it will be a while yet until Vermont sees warm spring rain showers like this one in St. Albans, Vermont, May, 2023. |
The warmth interrupted what had been a cold winter in the U.S. while most of the rest of the world stayed warm through the season.
Some places that were bone chillingly cold suddenly felt like summer.
As the Washington Post notes, it was 64 degrees Sunday in Aberdeen, South Dakota, breaking the record high of 60 for the date. Just five days earlier, it was 25 below in Aberdeen.
Buffalo, Wyoming got to 61 degrees Sunday, breaking the old record high for the date by four degrees.
Temperatures could flirt with 70 degrees as far north as South Dakota today, where rare winter red flag warnings are in effect for fire danger amid dry, windy conditions.
The warmth in much of the nation comes after a spate of record cold in the middle of the nation and parts of the South last week.
It looks like much of the central and southeastern United States should stay mostly on the warm side through the first week of March.
Not so here in Vermont, though.
VERMONT EFFECTS
In Vermont, we're far from any kind of record highs, but at least it's warmer than it's been. On Monday, the high temperature in Burlington reached 43 degrees. I know that's not especially warm, but it's still the hottest it's been since January 1.
If Monday's high of 43 holds for the month, only two Februaries since 2000 had lower high temperatures for the month.
It's possible it could get even slightly warmer today, given how balmy the overnight was in at least parts of Vermont. It stayed at or above 40 degrees in Burlington continuously from 2 p.m. Monday to 6 a.m. today, when the city finally dipped into the upper 30s. through 6 a.m today.
A chilly rain that will move in this afternoon will probably keep temperatures near 40 degrees, though.
Historically, we've had lots of years in which January and February temperatures have never gotten past the low 40s. But, in the age of climate change, that's become rare
Since 2000, only four Januarys had a highest temperature for the month cooler than 2025. So far at least, there's only been two or three Februarys in the last quarter century with cooler monthly high temperature than this year..
To give you an idea of how warm it can get, today is the anniversary of what I consider the most bonkers February weather day in Vermont history.
The temperature in Burlington on February 25, 2017 soared to 72 degrees, breaking the record for the hottest February temperature on record by an incredible nine degrees. (The previous record high for the month was set two days earlier).
Also on February. 25, 2017, severe evening thunderstorms hit parts of the state an a tornado touched down in western Massachusetts. By just before midnight to complete the day, it was snowing in Burlington.
At least we're not going to go through those extremes in the near future, as we get back to what's going on in the here and now.
With all the snow we had in the first three weeks of February, Burlington actually pulled ahead of snowfall for the season up to this point in the year.
But now, snowfall is suddenly lacking. For now, anyway. As of today, with no snow in the forecast, today we will slip just under the normal for snowfall up to this date.
We'll still keep up fairly closely with normal seasonal snow, though. We do have a bit of snow in the forecast as the thaw ends Thursday night and early Friday. It'll be solidly below freezing all day Friday, and signs point toward maybe a light to perhaps moderate snowfall Saturday
The frigid air is really planning on rolling in here by Sunday and Monday. Highs Sunday might not get out of the teens and we could see another excursion into subzero morning lows again Monday.
Overall, extended forecasts are mixed. March tend to be all over the place, with blizzards and intense cold one day, and mild sunshine a couple days later. I have a feeling that's what we'll deal with this March, too.
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