Quick Friday Morning Vermont Storm Forecast

Latest snow total maps for the weekend storm from
the National Weather Service office in South Burlington
Guided by forecast trends, they've tweaked the 
expected snow totals upwards a notch
compared to earlier forecasts 

 The trends in the computer models as of early Friday morning have been to tick the expected path of this weekend's storm a bit to the north and west of previous forecasts.  

If that trend holds - and that's still definitely an if - that would increase the amount of snow coming to Vermont with this system. 

The official forecast from the National Weather Service office in South Burlington has tweaked snow totals upward slightly from predictions issued Thursday afternoon.  

The new forecasts roughly drop six inches of snow along and south of Route 4; three to five inches between Routes 2 and 4 and one to three inches far north. 

That said, there's still a lot of things that could go right or wrong to either dump much more snow on Vermont or much less. Just slight variations in the storm track would cause a forecast bust.

To illustrate, National Weather Service maps this morning indicate there's a 10 percent chance that the storm could dump a foot of snow as far north as Route 2 and six inches all the way to the Canadian border. On the other hand, there's still a 10 percent chance of absolutely no snow along and north of Route 2 and just two to five inches in southern Vermont. 

The bottom line is: Expect some snow in Vermont Saturday night and Sunday, with increasing amounts the further south you go.  Most of southern New England and interior New York and Pennsylvania are under the gun with likely heavy snow, too. 

As I said last evening, any snow we do get should be fairly powdery, so there shouldn't be any real issues with power outages or anything like that in Vermont. However, the snow could be wetter and heavier down in southern New England and the Hudson Valley of New York, so they could have problems with tree and power line damage. 

SECOND STORM

I'm still more concerned about the second storm expected to hit Tuesday night and Wednesday. First of all, if you like snow, you'll dislike the midweek storm. Things could still change, but right now it looks like a snow to mix to rain event. 

More worrying is the potential for strong, damaging winds in some parts of Vermont with the midweek storm. Again, not a guarantee but something to keep a wary eye on.