Thursday, July 4, 2024

Quick Fourth Of July Hurricane Beryl Update: Weakening, But Still Formidable. Texas Monitors It

Hurricane Beryl still looks like it's getting disrupted
by strong upper level winds. But look closely.
It still has a pretty symmetrical core and an eye
which means the storm is still resisting
atmospheric conditions that want to weaken it faster.
 As expected, Hurricane Beryl has weakened more today, but it's still doing pretty well for itself despite strong upper level winds that want to rip it apart.  

In  satellite photos, the outer edges of it looked like a mess the afternoon, but if you looked closely, the inner core is nice and round with an eye still visible. That means some of the damage to Beryl from those winds are being deflected.

Still, Beryl is forecast to keep slowly weakening, then diminish faster as it crosses Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula tomorrow. 

Then it will re-emerge over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico as a 60 mph tropical storm, at least if forecasts are correct. Could we weaker at that point, could be stronger.

After that, Beryl is expected to slowly strengthen again as it moves over the warm Gulf of Mexico. One sort of good thing is that an earlier tropical storm. Alberto, churned up that section of the Gulf of Mexico in mid-June, which makes the surface water a little cooler.

If the water is a bit cooler, it can't fuel a hurricane as much as water that is really, really warm. 

Beryl is still forecast to become a hurricane before landfall.  That landfall looks like it will be somewhere between Tampico, Mexico and Galveston, Texas Sunday or Monday. 

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