Sunday, November 24, 2024

Sunday Evening Update On Thanksgiving Iffy Storm: Little New Clarity

Cold late November light Sunday afternoon, St. Albans,
Vermont. We still have not much clarity on what might
happen with a potential winter storm over the
Thanksgiving holiday. Stay tuned!
 Since everyone is interested in Thanksgiving holiday travel, I thought I'd throw out a little Sunday evening update on potential storminess in Vermont and the Northeast.  

Unfortunately, I don't have much new clarity fresh clarity on this, as the computer models are disagreeing on what might happen. 

Since people will be traveling all week, here's the latest updates for in and around Vermont

Monday: You're fine. Nothing to worry about.

Tuesday: Looks like we're in for a little freezing rain and even sleet in parts of Vermont early on Tuesday as the next storm blows in. It won't be much, but just a tiny bit of freezing rain will cause havoc. Freezing rain is least likely in the Champlain Valley, most likely in eastern Vermont.

It'll warm up by late morning, so if you're on the roads Tuesday, wait until after 10 a.m. or so. By then, it'll just be plain rain. 

Wednesday: There might be some mountain snow showers and slick spots early in the morning, but things should improve pretty quickly. Just like on Tuesday, if you wait until after 9 or 10 a.m. or so to hit the roads, you should be fine

Thanksgiving and Friday: Here's where the question marks are still huge. Just as in this morning's forecast, they European computer models give Vermont and the rest of northern New England either a moderate snowfall, or some snow and mixed garbage. 

The American model tries to take everything too far south of Vermont to cause much snow. However, some of the American models this afternoon have trended north with the storm, which could be an early sign that the American model is beginning to gel with the European.

I don't know whether this is a trend, but we'll watch it tomorrow and Tuesday.  I'm hoping we have a better handle on this by Tuesday night. 

Saturday and Beyond: Broad brush, it looks like it will be cold and wintry and breezy with snow showers, but I can't offer anything more specific than that just yet. 

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