Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Spring/Summer Vermont Rain Pattern Today: Some Places Drenched, Others Just Misted

 Today in Vermont will be much like Sunday:

National Weather Service radar around 7 a.m. today
showed a batch of thunderstorms in New York State
heading into southern Vermont, while more
showers, some rather heavy, lurked just north of the
border.  Showers and storms are a risk all day today.
Some places will get absolutely drenched, others only dampened. Some lightning and thunder could mix in across a few places, too. 

Also, it's hard to say exactly who will get the downpours and who won't.   If this sounds like things you hear in the summer, you're right. 

We've entered the season of hit and miss showers and storms. Expect a lot of days like this from now until at least Labor Day.

On Sunday, a few towns in Vermont had more than an inch of rain. Other towns had less than a tenth of an inch. Most places settled on half an inch, give or take. 

The same scenario will be roughly true today, though the heavy rain towns today might be different from those on Sunday. Or maybe not. It's a roll of the dice. 

As of early this morning patches of showers and thunderstorms were over southern Quebec, central New York and southern New England. Some of the Quebec activity was crossing over into northern Vermont. The New York downpours and rumbles of thunder seemed to be headed toward southern parts of the state. 

Overall, the chances of rain and storms will peak between 7 and 9 a.m. today. Then we will probably (but not definitely!) see a lull in the late morning into lunch time. Things will ramp up again in the afternoon and evening as a cold front begins to move through. 

Especially if we get some breaks in the clouds to increase instability in the atmosphere, some afternoon and evening showers and storms could get rather noticeable, though not severe. The more intense ones could feature small hail and torrential downpours. 

Like Sunday's event, this could cause local problems with deep pools of water on some poorly drained streets, and maybe some minor small stream flooding in a couple spots. Like what I had in St. Albans Sunday, when a rush of water pushed logs down stream, almost clogging my culvert. The property adjacent to mine had  a mini-landslide, though no real damage occurred. 

That kind of thing is possible today. But those instances will be pretty few and far between, like they were on Sunday. 

Although the style of rain today is kind of summer-like, temperatures sure won't be. We won't get fully into the warm, humid air that's helping to fuel this system. It was in the mid 80s to around 90 as far north as New York City yesterday. 

For us, just like yesterday, temperatures here in Vermont will hold in the 50s to possibly near 60. 

A guess we are in a literal rinse and repeat cycle this week. Tomorrow will be much like Monday was, with quite a few clouds around, cool temperatures and maybe a shower. 

It turns warmer toward the end of the week. Lots of little systems will be coming through with scattered showers. So far, though, nothing after today looks super impressive. That said, computer models are hazy on exactly what kind of weather we'll have Saturday and beyond.  

We're still in a transition season. Going through May, some weather systems might still bring the type of steady, widespread rain we get in cooler season storms. Many other days will feature the warm season type scattered showers and storms. 

As long as things don't get out of hand like they did last summer, I plan to enjoy those thunderstorms. In many ways, they're my favorite kind of weather.  

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