Phew, what a day Monday, huh?
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| Spring is back and so are the gardens. The snow from last week has melted (you can still see a small pile of snow to the right where it slid off the roof) Warm weather and rain will make spring advance further, but end of week flood risk? |
While doing that, we realize spring has really snuck while we were distracted by the spectacle. Plus, another pretty big storm is on the way. Spoiler: This next system definitely won't be a snowstorm.
For most of us now in the valleys, that big snow from last Thursday is almost just a memory. Here at my house in St. Albans, Vermont the 14 inches of snow that was on the ground last Friday morning is as of this morning reduced to just some patches that will disappear today.
Suddenly, looking around the yard, there's crocuses blooming everywhere and many clumps of daffodils have flower buds. I think I'll have blooms within days.
WARM, WET WEEK
The weather this week will encourage those flowers and green grass.
Before the eclipse chilled us down briefly Monday afternoon, we ended up having the warmest day so far this spring after all. Burlington reached 65 degrees, about eight degrees warmer than forecast.
Today is going to be another warm one, but will also be the last dry day of the week. We should see quite a bit of sun, with temperatures in most valleys reaching the low 60s again. A very nice day.
Clouds come in tonight as the first of two storm systems begin to affect us. The first one is not very big. It's the remnants of that powerful storm that caused those wicked, damaging winds in Colorado last weekend.
The storm is now a shadow of its former self, having limped across the Minnesota border into Ontario, Canada. It will swing its dying cold front our way late tonight and tomorrow.
The results will be a showery day. Hey, April flowers bring those May flowers, right?. Or mid to late April flowers, whatever. Despite the recent snows, it's still a decidedly earlier than normal spring in Vermont, and this week is keeping up the seasons's fast pace. It'll still be fairly mild tomorrow despite the clouds, reaching the 50s.
The warmth today and the light rain tomorrow will keep the snow in the higher elevations melting, so rivers will stay swift and high through today through the rest of the week. We won't have to deal with any flooding through Thursday morning. And then.....
STRONG STORM
The tail end of that dying cold front coming into Vermont tomorrow is way, way down in Texas. That's why it was cloudy in much of the Lone Star State for their eclipse experience.
What will turn out to be a big storm is forming at that tail end in Texas. It's already caused some severe weather in Texas Monday evening. This developing storm also looks like it will cause a pretty nasty severe weather, tornado and flood outbreak in the South over the the next couple of days.
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| A strong storm system is forecast to be affecting us in Vermont for the second Thursday/Friday in a row. This next one will be rain, not snow. |
Tornadoes, some strong and gorilla hail are in the forecast today for eastern Texas and Louisiana. An even more serious tornado and flood threat seems possible tomorrow in the Gulf Coast states as the storm matures.
As you can tell already, this storm will have lots of moisture and energy to work with. It's forecast to strengthen even further as it plows northward to the eastern Great Lakes Thursday night or very early Friday.
We'll be on the warm side of this storm. You'll notice it turning rather humid for the season here in Vermont Thursday and Thursday night.
The storm's surge of moisture will keep the rain going for most of the day and night, with only brief breaks. Lows Thursday night could stay up in the 50s, which is quite mild for this time of year.
If the forecast holds, you'll wake up to a rather strangely warm and humid Friday morning. Depending on the timing of the storm's cold front, we could even end up with some thunderstorms Friday.
In any event, this storm will produce a fair amount of rain, possibly one or two inches. Locally more if there's thunderstorms. The ground is quite wet from all that snow that just melted, and there's more snow in the mountains to go.
The result is a Vermont flood risk by Thursday night and Friday.
At this point it certainly doesn't look like it'll be anything catastrophic. We don't need that! But minor flooding is possible. We'll have details as we get closer to the event.
It looks like this storm will carry quite a bit of wind, too. I doubt it will be nearly as bad as the damaging gusts during the early stages of last week's winter storm. But there still could be a few power outages.
Finer details to come as the storm gets closer later in the week.
The warmth and humidity will also push spring's progress along even faster.
It also looks like we'll have a brief spell of raw, chilly, showery weather next Saturday and possibly Sunday.
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