Sunday Evening Snow Update: Still Very Little Clarity On Vermont Storm Risk

The snow forecast for the upcoming storm on Tuesday in 
Vermont is little changed from this morning. What you don't
see in this map is remaining high uncertainty on the forecast.
There could be quite a bit more, or quite a bit less snow
than depicted on this map for Tuesday. 

 As of late this afternoon, there's still frustratingly little clarity on how far north the snow will come into Vermont Tuesday from a potent storm passing by to our south.  

The basic forecast remains the same, with a fairly strong chance of several inches of snow in southern Vermont. Little if anything is in the cards in the north

However, forecasts are struggling with a sharp cutoff between heavy snow to the south and pretty much a nothing burger north.

Where will that snow/no snow boundary set up? Best guesses are somewhere in Rutland and Windsor counties, but that could shift north or south. 

A winter storm watch is still up for Bennington and Windham counties. The fact that that watch, which means maybe, hasn't yet been upgraded to a warning, which means pretty much definitely reflects the uncertainty. 

The National Weather Service is toying with the idea of issuing a winter weather advisory for Rutland and Windsor counties, but they're going to hold off on that until they get more consistent data.

There's no question this storm is a potent one. Winter storm warnings for 8 to 18 inches of snow are up for most of southern New England, much of central and southern New York and parts of Pennsylvania 

Late this afternoon and this evening,  Louisiana and Mississippi were gearing up for a tornado risk, and one or two of those tornadoes might end up being strong, so there's a danger there. 

A flood watch is up parts of Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and Tennessee.  

As usual, I'll do an update early tomorrow morning. By then, we hope to have more consistency in the forecast for Vermont.