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| Strong south winds in St. Albans Bay today was causing a slight "ice shove." The wind was pushing ice up the bank toward the park above the lake. |
It's gotten awfully dark out there as of 4 p.m. this afternoon and the south wind has picked up as the big promised cold front bears down on us.
We did manage another record high in Burlington today as it reached at least 60 degrees so far, besting the record of 59 degrees in 2018.
It might go up another degree or two, as sometimes an approaching cold front compresses the air, heating it a bit.
It still looks like it will enter western Vermont a little after 6 p.m. and quickly move through.
There have been some little changes to the forecast.
Most notably, the flood watch has been dropped.
Expected showers during the day under were pretty underwhelming, so we missed out on that runoff. The downpours with the front shouldn't be enough to cause much in the way of flooding. Rivers will still rise, but most should stay at or just below bankful
Winds will remain gusty from the south until the front hits. Some favored areas in the Champlain Valley are gusting over 40 mph and that will continue for a couple more hours.
When the front arrives, the wind will pick up from the west. Some of the taller showers with this front might be able to grab some high speed air from aloft and bring it to the surface. That'll be hit and miss.
The western half of Vermont still is under a marginal risk for severe storms, because of those possible wind gusts. That's the lowest risk level on a five point scale. As of 4:15 p.m., I am seeing a line of scattered lightning strikes near Ottawa, Canada and a couple more near Watertown, New York.
So there might be an isolated lightning flash or two or a rumble of thunder when this comes through in the next few hours. But nothing to really light up the skies.
Behind the front, wind gusts will continue. The highest winds might actually come about an hour after the front goes through. By that point, says the National Weather Service, the atmosphere will be able to mix some higher speed winds to the surface.
So, the wind advisory remains in effect through the night.
A flash freeze later tonight is still in the cards, too. Nothing has changed with that aspect of the forecast. Expect some slick spots on the roads Thursday morning. Many of us will probably see a little snow at the tail end of this event, but it won't amount to much.
You can see how fast it gets cold behind the front by looking at reports from western New York. Buffalo, New York was at 64 degrees at noon, but down to 45 at 1 p.m. By 4 p.m., it was 33 and snowing in Buffalo.
Watertown, New York was at 61 degrees at 3 p.m. and 45 at 4 p.m. So it's coming, folks!
It's still looking blustery and cold tomorrow.
I'll leave it at that and I'll see how we did with this in the morning with a new report here in this blog thingy.
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