Spectacular Vermont Snow Forecast Collapse, But Some New Modest Snow Chances Arise

It snowed for five minutes or so in St. Albans, Vermont
last evening, so you can just make out a snow cover (??)
in the garden soil. The snowfall that was to hit
southern Vermont decided not to, but light additional
snowfalls are in the forecast. 

 I can't remember the last time when a snowstorm forecast with such promise went to such a nothing burger.  

As we sat here two days ago, it looked like far southern Vermont was going to get zonked by snow and central Vermont would see a few inches. We all knew northern parts of the state were going to be bystanders to this. 

There was just a 10 percent chance that southern Vermont would mostly escape the snow. 

And that's exactly what is happening.

With each run of the computer models that wet storm's forecast path would creep gradually southward. 

The result is a solid miss. Radar seemed to indicate some snow falling in the southern tip of Vermont this morning, but most of that is just a little stuff that's falling out of the clouds and evaporating on the way down. Flurries on the ground at most. 

The original thought was a smaller storm coming in from the Great Lakes would tug the bigger storm further north. But that smaller storm decided not to tango with the big wet lug of a system near the coast. So the rejected bigger storm is now hightailing off the coast well south of New England, apparently hurt by the cold shoulder it just got. 

Or something like that.  

SNOW COMING ANYWAY?

With that storm departing along with the hopes of snow lovers, we do have some decent chances of new bouts of snow.  Nothing big. But it will turn snowier than it's been so far this month. Which isn't hard to do, since Burlington has so far gotten a grand total of 0.1 inches of snow so far this February. 

The National Weather Service in South Burlington said this is the first time on record there was no measurable snow on the ground for any of the first 12 days of February. 

The first bit of snow will come from that little storm from the Great Lakes that refused to dance with the big departing storm. 

That'll come through tonight with a batch of snow showers. Not everyone will see snow, but many of us will. Those of us who do see any snow should have an inch or less. Maybe a couple inches in some of the mountains. 

At least the thin dusting of snow in spots will remind us a bit that it's still February.

After that comes speedy little Storm #2.  Again, it won't exactly be something that goes down into the4 history books.  Or the history web sites, as they case may be. It'll come at us through the southern Great Lakes and probably go smack dab over Vermont overnight Thursday..

It won't have a lot of moisture to work with. And it will be moving along quickly, so it won't linger long enough to drop much snow. 

But it looks like it might be an efficient little bugger, working well with whatever humidity in the air it can find to possibly drop two to six inches of light, fluffy snow on the Green Mountain State.

The forecast for late Thursday could still shift some, but right now it's looking good.

Beyond that, it's possible that another little system similar to Thursday night's could swing through on Saturday with its own batch of light snow. 

All that is a pattern we often see in Vermont: A good long period of no big storms, but we get flurried to death. Those flurries eventually add up to a small but not terrible snow cover.