Eastern U.S. Seems To Be Latest Severe Weather Target, Vermont Catching A Break

The weather pattern favors occasional bouts of severe
thunderstorms in the Northeast over the next week or 
more. However, Vermont will be on the sidelines
of today's outbreak, and also possibly again
with new storms over the weekend. 

 As we all know, there's been a ton of severe weather, tornadoes and flooding hitting the U.S. repeatedly since April.  

The storm train continues, and it seems the eastern United States is most under the gun at the moment.   On Sunday, we had those tornado watches, severe thunderstorms and flash flooding in the Northeast, including a confirmed tornado in Dublin, New Hampshire. 

The northern tier of the United States is now under a fast jet stream, at least by summer standards, and that means lots of opportunities for severe weather. 

The seemingly ever-present heat dome in the south and Midwest keeps trying to send hot air up into the Northeast, but the cold fronts keep cutting it off at the pass. Especially the further north you go.

The cold fronts, encountering those attempts at hot, humid air, create the ingredients for severe weather. That's what happened Sunday.

Although Vermont got hit over the weekend, we do seem to be catching a break this week. Severe thunderstorms are in the cards today for a broad area extending from Kentucky and Ohio to near New York City.

Strong straight line winds and local flash floods will be the end result. Far southern Vermont might catch an isolated strong storm, but in general, Vermont will sit this one out. 

The Green Mountain State did manage to get some showers overnight and this morning. More showers are due tonight. But I don't see anything scary in this forecast. 

The next wave of potentially severe weather comes to the East Saturday and Sunday. It's still too early to know the extent and exact location of any severe storms this weekend, but it looks inevitable somewhere in the Mid-Atlantic or Northeast.

That also means it's too soon to tell if Vermont will participate in this, but early betting suggests we might once again avoid the worst of it. 

This regime of storm threats once every two or three days is actually fairly common in the summer.  It usually takes some activity from the jet stream to help encourage stormy weather. 

The jet stream usually retreats to southern Canada in the summer, but the Northeast is sometimes close enough to the jet stream to have some strong thunderstorms spin off. Especially if heat and humidity lurks just to the south to add fuel, as is going on now. 

As we head into July, who knows, but best early guesses is this up and down temperature yoyo between refreshing days and muggy ones will continue, and those storm risks will probably come through with every transition.